Election odds › Wisconsin
Wisconsin election odds, 2026
What the prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi price for Wisconsin's governor and House races. governor: Democrats 80% · House: 7 of 8 districts priced, Democrats expected to win 2.5. Prices are probabilities set by traders putting money on the outcome, not our forecast.
Wisconsin governor race
Democrats favoured (80%, average of the exchanges)
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Wisconsin House districts
7 of 8 districts priced. Democrats are expected to win 2.5 of the priced seats; favoured in 2, toss-up in 0, Republicans favoured in 5.
| District | Favoured | Polymarket | Kalshi | Candidates |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WI-01 | R 65% | D 36% | – | |
| WI-02 | D 98% | – | D 98% | |
| WI-04 | D 95% | – | D 95% | Gwen Moore v Tim Rogers |
| WI-05 | R 99% | D 2% | D <1% | Andrew Beck v Scott Fitzgerald |
| WI-06 | R 93% | D 7% | D 8% | Brad Smith v Glenn Grothman |
| WI-07 | R 95% | D 4% | D 6% | Fred Clark v Michael Alfonso |
| WI-08 | R 89% | D 10% | D 12% | Rick Crosson v Tony Wied |
Wisconsin in the news
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Odds from Polymarket and Kalshi. Market prices are information, not investment advice. Where only one exchange prices a race, the other is shown as having no market. The national map · How the markets did.