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Washington election odds, 2026
What the prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi price for Washington's House race. House: 10 of 10 districts priced, Democrats expected to win 8.0. Prices are probabilities set by traders putting money on the outcome, not our forecast.
Washington House districts
10 of 10 districts priced. Democrats are expected to win 8.0 of the priced seats; favoured in 8, toss-up in 0, Republicans favoured in 2.
| District | Favoured | Polymarket | Kalshi | Candidates |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WA-01 | D 98% | – | D 98% | Suzan DelBene v Mary Silva |
| WA-02 | D 97% | D 99% | D 96% | Rick Larsen v Edwin H. Feller |
| WA-03 | D 92% | D 92% | – | |
| WA-04 | R 93% | D 7% | D 7% | John Duresky v Amanda McKinney |
| WA-05 | R 86% | D 13% | D 15% | Carmela Conroy v Michael Baumgartner |
| WA-06 | D 97% | D 98% | D 96% | Emily Randall v Teresa Fox |
| WA-07 | D 98% | – | D 98% | Pramila Jayapal v Nirav Sheth |
| WA-08 | D 99% | D 99% | – | |
| WA-09 | D 97% | D 97% | D 98% | Adam Smith v Doug Basler |
| WA-10 | D 95% | D 97% | D 94% | Marilyn Strickland v Chris D. Chung |
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Odds from Polymarket and Kalshi. Market prices are information, not investment advice. Where only one exchange prices a race, the other is shown as having no market. The national map · How the markets did.