Election odds › New Jersey
New Jersey election odds, 2026
What the prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi price for New Jersey's Senate and House races. Senate: Democrats 97% · House: 12 of 12 districts priced, Democrats expected to win 9.9. Prices are probabilities set by traders putting money on the outcome, not our forecast.
New Jersey Senate race
Democrats favoured (97%, average of the exchanges)
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New Jersey House districts
12 of 12 districts priced. Democrats are expected to win 9.9 of the priced seats; favoured in 10, toss-up in 0, Republicans favoured in 2.
| District | Favoured | Polymarket | Kalshi | Candidates |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJ-01 | D 96% | D 96% | D 96% | Donald Norcross v Damon Galdo |
| NJ-02 | R 77% | D 24% | D 22% | Zack Mullock v Jeff Van Drew |
| NJ-03 | D 96% | D 96% | D 97% | Herb Conaway v Michael McGuire |
| NJ-04 | R 97% | – | D 3% | Rachel Peace v Chris Smith |
| NJ-05 | D 97% | D 97% | – | |
| NJ-06 | D 97% | D 97% | D 98% | Frank Pallone v Hillary Herzig |
| NJ-07 | D 93% | D 93% | – | |
| NJ-08 | D 98% | D 97% | D 100% | |
| NJ-09 | D 97% | D 97% | – | |
| NJ-10 | D 98% | D 100% | D 97% | LaMonica McIver v Carmen Bucco |
| NJ-11 | D 96% | D 96% | D 96% | Analilia Mejia v Joe Hathaway |
| NJ-12 | D 97% | D 97% | D 98% | Adam Hamawy v Gregg Mele |
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Odds from Polymarket and Kalshi. Market prices are information, not investment advice. Where only one exchange prices a race, the other is shown as having no market. The national map · How the markets did.