What happens next
The next 14 days as the markets see them. Every market resolving by day, with the odds right now and the story behind it. Only markets trading at least $10k a day are listed, so these are the questions people are actually pricing.
Today, Thursday 5 November
- 1%−61 $61k/day
- 1%−13 $60k/day
- 1%+1 $46k/day
- 1%−13 $39k/day
- 1%−61 $23k/day
- 61% $35k/day
- 48%−1 $22k/day
- 10% $12k/day
Tomorrow, Friday 6 November
- 1%+1 $236k/day
- 99%+2 $122k/day
- 95%−1 $70k/day
- 100%+3 $20k/day
- 31%+3 $13k/day
- 1% $23k/day
- 1%−1 $202k/day
- 1%−2 $160k/day
Saturday 7 November
- 1%+1 $153k/day
- 97%+6 $117k/day
- 92%+2 $57k/day
- 1%−1 $13k/day
- 93%+47 $11k/day
- 46%+2 $10k/day
- 1%−86 $34k/day
- 1%−90 $34k/day
Sunday 8 November
- Will Labour Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? On: New Zealand Braces for Knife-Edge Election as Smaller Parties Hold Key to Government69%−7 $11k/day
- 3% $179k/day
- 17%+15 $131k/day
- 1% $117k/day
- 3%−8 $102k/day
- 1%−0 $95k/day
- 3% $89k/day
- 1% $87k/day
Monday 9 November
- 17%+1 $36k/day
- 16% $14k/day
- 7% $11k/day
- 9%−1 $10k/day
- 35%−4 $33k/day
- 9%+1 $12k/day
- 0%−72 $406k/day
- 82%+2 $47k/day
Tuesday 10 November
- 6%−70 $241k/day
- 1%−1 $228k/day
- 1%−18 $170k/day
- 99%+81 $69k/day
- 1%−2 $69k/day
- 1% $67k/day
- 99%+5 $62k/day
- 95%+2 $57k/day
Wednesday 11 November
- 22%−33 $20k/day
- 1%−33 $85k/day
- 1%−15 $15k/day
- 1%+1 $13k/day
- 1%−11 $13k/day
- 100%+59 $317k/day
- 0%−44 $302k/day
Thursday 12 November
- 1% $144k/day
- 1%−23 $95k/day
- 1%−21 $83k/day
- 99%+45 $68k/day
- 1%−68 $43k/day
- 1%−39 $35k/day
- 1%−40 $31k/day
- 1%−10 $30k/day
Friday 13 November
- 1%−2 $198k/day
- 99%+3 $170k/day
- 1%−70 $55k/day
- 1%−10 $52k/day
- 1%−1 $48k/day
- 99%+38 $47k/day
- 1%−16 $43k/day
- 99%+55 $36k/day
Saturday 14 November
- 25%+25 $15k/day
- 18%−7 $10k/day
Sunday 15 November
- 0% $304k/day
- 3%−1 $219k/day
- 1%−1 $174k/day
- 1%+1 $164k/day
- 1%−4 $161k/day
- 1% $155k/day
- 1%+1 $147k/day
- 0%−1 $144k/day
Monday 16 November
- 1%−1 $18k/day
- 1%−1 $16k/day
- 1%−2 $12k/day
- 1%−1 $12k/day
- 2%−3 $12k/day
- 82%−3 $19k/day
- 99%+65 $10k/day
- 0%−51 $257k/day
Tuesday 17 November
- 34%+9 $19k/day
- 21%+7 $19k/day
Dates are each market's resolution deadline on its exchange (Polymarket or Kalshi), which is usually the day of the event but can be later when a result takes time to confirm. Odds are the current price of the first outcome, or of the favourite where a market has several. Market prices are information, not investment advice.