DeepSeek released a faster AI model while Nvidia’s Jensen Huang expressed confidence in the sector's long-term growth despite recent market volatility.
Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro has launched New Path PAC to oppose President Trump, fueling speculation he may run for president in 2028.
Kalshi Republican Party 20% −7President Trump asserts the conflict will conclude shortly while officials debate military options and diplomatic stalemates ahead of US midterm elections.
Senior Labour members express concern over AI risks while regulators question OpenAI and Anthropic regarding rogue agents.
Polling shifts and strategist analysis suggest Democrats are poised to gain control of Congress, prompting market caution and internal Republican scrutiny.
Kalshi Republican Party 5%President Trump visits multiple red states for rallies while Republican candidates largely avoid featuring him in their advertising.
Kalshi Before Jan 1, 2027 17%Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez contributes $1 million to Democrat Abdul El-Sayed’s campaign, intensifying the contest against Republican Mike Rogers amid rising attacks from J.D. Vance and Donald Trump.
Iran claims naval mines damaged tankers carrying crude oil in the Strait of Hormuz, while US officials report militias are sending funds to the IRGC.
The Pope leaves Rome's Gemelli Hospital four days after surgery to remove a cancerous nodule, with doctors confirming his continued improvement and fitness for discharge.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky expressed openness to US-led talks while warning that Donald Trump's rollback of sanctions on Russia will intensify the war.
Moscow launches massive drone attacks on Ukrainian infrastructure while Kyiv resumes strikes on Russian oil refineries, ending a brief ceasefire proposed by Donald Trump.
Demonstrations across France have escalated into riots with fires and clashes, as students and unions rally against high prices and poor school conditions.
President Donald Trump engages in denuclearisation discussions with Russia and China while preparing for a summit with Xi Jinping to secure trade stability.
Central bank officials and financiers warn that the gap between AI infrastructure costs and returns is rattling markets amid a rout in tech stocks.
US Ambassador Sergio Gor states a trade deal is imminent while investors and officials highlight expanding economic cooperation in New Delhi.
Kalshi India 7%September consumer price inflation reached 3.7 percent while producer prices jumped 1.3 percent, marking the fastest growth in over four years due to rising energy costs.
Kalshi At least 4.5% 23% +3Major initial public offerings are underway for Jio, GCash, and Nscale, reflecting investor interest in telecom, digital wallets, and AI infrastructure despite market volatility.
Major carmakers are hiring engineers, debuting new tech in China, and facing deforestation probes as they compete with rising Chinese rivals at the Paris Motor Show.
Average US mortgage rates remain near 7.4%, halting a recent rise while purchase activity falls for a sixth consecutive week amid affordability challenges.
DeepSeek released a faster AI model while Nvidia’s Jensen Huang expressed confidence in the sector's long-term growth despite recent market volatility.
Polymarket Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? 47% −1The White House super intelligence task force holds its first meeting to coordinate safety commitments, while California and other states advance separate regulatory measures.
Anthropic pitches an AI safety bill to lawmakers, ends its partnership with Replit for OpenAI, and secures financing from Blackstone.
Kalshi Anthropic 76%Tech firms restrict autonomous agents while Adobe analysts express concern over AI competition and Rivian prepares to deploy AI in vehicles.
Polymarket Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? 40%Elon Musk demonstrated a Tesla Roadster prototype using SpaceX thrusters to fly and flip mid-air at a Texas facility, with production slated for 2028.
Donald Trump rejects new federal AI regulations while China advances in humanoid robotics, as political dialogues resume in Venezuela and business leaders navigate market shifts.
Kalshi Venezuela 6%OpenAI's release of AI-solved math problems has alarmed cryptographers who fear the technology could eventually break current encryption standards.
Polymarket Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? 14% −1The company has launched a new model checkpoint that scores 77.0 on DeepSWE and offers an open search API alongside faster task completion.
Resolved Next DeepSeek Flash released by October 31, 2026? Yes 17h agoJeff Yan outlines a regulatory approach to shield the platform from direct oversight as authorities consider bringing it into the US.
Polymarket Will Kraken be first to list tokenized stocks in the US? 6% −1Coinbase advocates for immediate preparation of Bitcoin against quantum threats, urging flexible address designs and early migration before vulnerable coins are compromised.
Kalshi Above 7 million 70%Bitcoin rebounds from a dip below $80,000 driven by an AI stock selloff, while Binance.US pursues $100 million to expand its US operations.
Kalshi 75,000 to 79,999.99 14%At least two industry-aligned political action committees have spent more than $52 million opposing the Ohio Democrat's re-election bid.
Kalshi Sherrod Brown 66% +1Paris Saint-Germain defeated Manchester City 4-2 in the Champions League, with Erling Haaland scoring twice for the hosts.
Polymarket Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? 20% +1Gabby Williams scores 26 points as the Golden State Valkyries defeat the Atlanta Dream 68-64 to take a 1-0 lead in the best-of-seven series.
Polymarket Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals? 35% −12Manchester City manager Enzo Maresca guides his team to wins against Ipswich and Liverpool while addressing the club's ongoing financial breach verdicts.
Kalshi Manchester City 22% +5Daniel Dubois defeated Fabio Wardley via second-round stoppage at London's O2 Arena to retain his WBO heavyweight championship.
Polymarket Daniel Dubois vs. Fabio Wardley 100% +26Major sports networks release betting odds, player prop picks, and fantasy projections for the upcoming Week 6 matchups.
Polymarket Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? 12%Heavy rain forces the postponement of American League Championship Series Game 4, shifting the matchup to Saturday while both teams retain their original pitching plans.
Polymarket Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians 100% +49The International Bureau of Weights and Measures voted to scrap leap seconds immediately, replacing them with a 'leap hour' to prevent computer anomalies.
New research reveals microplastics react with water and blood to create damaging chemicals, while separate studies link them to inflammation and fatty liver disease.
Remains from Shanidar Cave in Iraq reveal a fatal spear wound and signs of care, suggesting Neanderthals engaged in lethal violence while supporting injured peers.
A new model projects Thwaites Glacier will contribute up to 30mm of sea-level rise by 2100, doubling previous estimates due to improved grounding zone physics.
A new study evaluates whether attributing costs to climate change via event likelihood or severity provides more accurate results.
The National Hurricane Center issues its final advisory on Tropical Storm Simon, noting it has lost tropical cyclone status and is dissipating while moving northwest.
Kalshi Category 5 or above 1%Major industry events from El Gouna to Singapore focus on expanding partnerships, integrating artificial intelligence, and navigating the creator economy.
Kalshi Hope 13% +11Comedian Dan Levy, Martha Plimpton and Ego Nwodim criticize Shane Gillis's opening monologue on Saturday Night Live for its jokes about women.
Kalshi Tina Fey 41% +6The platform permanently suspended the film's official account ahead of its wide release, prompting distributor Bleecker Street to appeal the decision.
Kalshi Musk 19%Sony considers releasing four Beatles biopics simultaneously while director Sam Mendes addresses Paul McCartney's concerns about actor height discrepancies.
Kalshi Paul McCartney 17%Director Brian Duffield discusses the difficulties of shooting Whalefall, including using Josh Brolin's heartbeat for the whale and adapting Daniel Kraus's novel.
Kalshi Above 80 1%The singer performs the unreleased track 'What Is Enough' during his residency show to mark the second anniversary of his former bandmate's death.
Kalshi Harry Styles 19%The pop stars release a remix of the track with a music video directed by Bardia Zeinali featuring David Byrne.
Kalshi Rank 1 to 2 51% +23Irish band Fontaines DC launch their fifth record, featuring a duet with Rosalía, while frontman Grian Chatten discusses future solo work following the album's release.
Iron Maiden reveal their final North American leg while U2 launch a global stadium tour supporting their new album.
The rapper addresses backlash regarding his feature on Kid Rock's Halfway 2 Jesus by stating he is simply making music with an old friend.
Kalshi Eminem 90% −2The CDC deploys a disease detective to Pennsylvania amid an outbreak causing six deaths, while national infections surpass 4,400.
Polymarket Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? 98%Open enrollment runs through Dec. 7, prompting seniors to review changes as insurers reduce Medicare Advantage options and Part D coverage.
The Trump administration submits an interim access policy for unproven peptides to the White House, bypassing standard FDA safety reviews.
Kalshi Peptide 16%