S&P Global Ratings warns of downgrade risks as local opposition grows, while SK Hyper Co. pursues a $350 billion buildout to meet surging AI demand.
The Justice Department launches lawsuits and raids while Barack Obama rallies voters, intensifying the final stretch of the US midterm elections.
Kalshi Republican Party 1% −3Barack Obama backs Democratic candidates in Florida while the Trump administration sues to halt Alaska Senate certification if Republicans lose.
Kalshi Republican Party 19% +2Plummeting consumer sentiment and high inflation drive young Americans to oppose President Donald Trump as midterm elections approach.
The US Treasury Department has proposed new rules to restrict American outbound investments in AI and other high-tech sectors targeting adversaries like China.
Polymarket Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? 25% −1Former US President Barack Obama campaigned for Democratic Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed in Detroit, urging voters to support real change as early voting begins.
EU officials urge the UK, Canada and Japan to increase financial support for Kyiv's defence as Russia escalates hybrid warfare across Europe.
S&P Global Ratings warns of downgrade risks as local opposition grows, while SK Hyper Co. pursues a $350 billion buildout to meet surging AI demand.
Kalshi Before Jan 1, 2027 10%The White House states that a temporary pause in fighting will begin October 29 to allow humanitarian aid into the Russian-occupied town and enable civilian evacuations.
Kyiv confirms full speed has returned to the satellite network following a week-long restriction that hampered military drone operations.
Kalshi Ukraine 6%Thousands protest in Tel Aviv as Benjamin Netanyahu seeks re-election against former military chief Gadi Eisenkot amid debates over crypto and Iran policy.
The Pentagon has prepared strike options against Iran post-midterms while Trump hints at imminent action or a deal, drawing criticism from Obama and prompting Tehran to warn of severe retaliation.
Authorities deploy tens of thousands of officers and make nearly 1,000 arrests as hundreds of thousands march across France amid tensions over the cost of living and school funding.
Economists and officials from Australia, the UK, and the US signal diverging monetary paths as inflation and growth concerns persist across major economies.
Kalshi Before 2027 80%Brent crude reaches its highest level since May as fears of a widening war in the Middle East disrupt supply chains and drive global energy costs higher.
Polymarket Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? 14% +1The rating agency retains France's Aa3 score, assuming a deficit-reducing budget for 2027 will be adopted.
Kalshi Above $4.3 trillion 6%Bond yields fall across major economies including France, the US, China, and Japan as investors flock to government debt amid equity volatility and fiscal concerns.
Rising diesel costs driven by the Iran conflict prompt price cuts from TotalEnergies, export adjustments in India, and shifting consumer habits across multiple nations.
Kalshi Above $8.00 20%Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s administration provides foreign investors with more information in English to assuage market reservations about fiscal policy management.
Kalshi Japan 4%Apollo economist Torsten Slok claims AI offers zero payoff outside tech, while a study finds Grok favors Republicans and OpenAI Democrats.
Polymarket Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? 90%Strict safety guardrails on powerful AI models are blocking security teams from investigating attacks, while hackers exploit exposed models to wage cybercrime.
Anthropic releases Claude Duet to compete with rivals, while experts question its internal impact report and OpenAI acquires a biotech firm.
Kalshi Anthropic 78% +8Investor anxiety over artificial intelligence valuations drives equity selloffs, prompting Goldman Sachs to slash its South Korea index target while OpenAI pursues new capital.
Microsoft claims its new diagnostic system beats generalist doctors on complex cases, though most improvement stems from underlying models.
Texas sues OpenAI for consumer protection violations while a former engineer faces detention over alleged spying and foreign government support.
Bitcoin fell below $82,000 as tech losses and Middle East evacuations weighed on markets, while Strategy and Strive continue financing BTC purchases via preferred stock.
Resolved Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 19-25? Yes 19h agoThe NFL confirms the Saints-Steelers match in Paris will go ahead with heightened security after civil unrest forced the closure of a nearby fan event.
The Milwaukee Brewers defeated the Tampa Bay Rays 5-4 in Game 2 to take a 2-0 lead in the 2026 World Series.
Polymarket Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? 16% −11Alexander Volkanovski defeated Movsar Evloev via technical knockout in the second round to retain his featherweight championship at UFC 333 in Abu Dhabi.
Golden State Valkyries defeat Atlanta Dream 67-62 in Game 4, with Gabby Williams scoring 17 points to level the best-of-seven series.
Polymarket Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals? 48% +24Barcelona host Real Madrid on Sunday in a key La Liga match featuring Lamine Yamal and Kylian Mbappé, with Jose Mourinho returning to face his former club.
Michael Carrick insists he trusts his players despite Bruno Fernandes' criticism, while Antonio Conte denies interest in the vacant managerial role.
Administrator Jared Isaacman confirms the agency aims for a summer launch while preparing for critical docking exercises with rival lunar landers.
Researchers have achieved a breakthrough by trapping the electron's antimatter equivalent, aiming to shed light on fundamental physics mysteries.
The BBC series includes less polished shots to assure viewers animals are not AI-generated.
New studies show global warming ended a nascent ice age, while glacier loss in the US West and Antarctica accelerates due to climate change.
Major events including El Gouna, Valladolid, and Sharjah are launching new industry programs and premieres while StudioCanal highlights its slate.
Kalshi Hope 6%Bruno Santamaría Razo’s debut feature secures the top Ojo award at the 24th edition of the festival, which concludes on October 25.
Kalshi You Can See Everything 86% +4A24's Elizabeth Holmes documentary You Can See Everything has become a box office surprise with a $15.6 million US opening, sparking intense awards speculation and global discussion.
The showrunner states she disagrees with the actor's stance on the Israel-Gaza war but respects his right to a different opinion.
Kalshi Nobody Wants This: Season 3 92% +74New films and reports scrutinize the fraud of Elizabeth Holmes and Theranos while investigating Billy Evans’ Haemanthus as a modern parallel.
The DC horror film Clayface leads the box office with a $10.4 million debut, while the Elizabeth Holmes documentary You Can See Everything continues its strong run.
Kalshi Above 80 1%The rapper performs a full live band set featuring updated versions of her hits during her debut appearance on the series.
Kalshi Cardi B 2% +1The rapper performed two nights at the venue, welcoming guests including Blue Ivy Carter and John Legend to conclude his yearlong celebration.
The musician launched his new tour on Thursday night, declaring that 'being human is not complicated' during the opening performance.
Multiple major acts including Iron Maiden, U2, System of a Down, Queens Of The Stone Age, Zach Bryan and Interpol have revealed upcoming concert schedules for 2027.
The singer reduces prices and removes premium standing options after publicly criticizing reported costs.
The country star will release the 16-song album via Lost Highway Records on January 15, featuring Spanish-language tracks and covers.
Phase III trial results show the bespoke treatment significantly improves recurrence-free survival, prompting expectations for regulatory approval next year.
The actor announced on her podcast that she does not have the disease, a revelation that sparked backlash from The View hosts who criticized Megyn Kelly for mocking the news.
The retired wrestler is recovering at a Florida hospital after falling outside a Tampa restaurant, hours after canceling an appearance due to a blood clot.
A patient has died during a clinical trial of the investigational CAR-T therapy zolacabtagene autoleucel for multiple sclerosis.
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