Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
Why it moved: +3 points at 09:27 UTC, after Bloomberg Markets: Hochstein: Markets Should Be Cognizant of Strike Risk — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 17% |
| 3 Nov, 09:34 UTC | 17% |
| 3 Nov, 09:27 UTC | 18% |
| 3 Nov, 08:59 UTC | 15% |
| 3 Nov, 07:48 UTC | 14% |
| 3 Nov, 06:51 UTC | 14% |
| 2 Nov, 19:33 UTC | 14% |
| 2 Nov, 19:26 UTC | 14% |
| 2 Nov, 14:33 UTC | 14% |
| 2 Nov, 13:11 UTC | 16% |
| 2 Nov, 08:36 UTC | 17% |
| 2 Nov, 08:29 UTC | 17% |
| 2 Nov, 04:26 UTC | 18% |
| 2 Nov, 03:57 UTC | 18% |
| 2 Nov, 03:21 UTC | 17% |
| 2 Nov, 02:37 UTC | 18% |
| 2 Nov, 02:15 UTC | 17% |
| 2 Nov, 00:33 UTC | 17% |
| 2 Nov, 00:12 UTC | 17% |
| 1 Nov, 23:43 UTC | 18% |
| 1 Nov, 23:22 UTC | 19% |
| 1 Nov, 22:46 UTC | 20% |
| 1 Nov, 22:10 UTC | 22% |
| 1 Nov, 15:53 UTC | 18% |
| 31 Oct, 22:57 UTC | 17% |
| 31 Oct, 22:28 UTC | 17% |
| 31 Oct, 21:39 UTC | 17% |
| 31 Oct, 20:36 UTC | 17% |
| 31 Oct, 17:49 UTC | 19% |
| 31 Oct, 04:35 UTC | 17% |
| 31 Oct, 04:21 UTC | 18% |
| 30 Oct, 23:48 UTC | 17% |
| 30 Oct, 18:37 UTC | 19% |
| 30 Oct, 16:54 UTC | 18% |
| 30 Oct, 15:35 UTC | 18% |
| 30 Oct, 15:28 UTC | 18% |
| 30 Oct, 14:31 UTC | 18% |
| 30 Oct, 13:58 UTC | 19% |
| 30 Oct, 12:06 UTC | 18% |
| 30 Oct, 09:16 UTC | 18% |
| 30 Oct, 08:48 UTC | 18% |
| 30 Oct, 07:35 UTC | 17% |
| 30 Oct, 06:21 UTC | 16% |
| 30 Oct, 02:09 UTC | 17% |
| 30 Oct, 01:55 UTC | 17% |
| 29 Oct, 23:04 UTC | 16% |
| 29 Oct, 22:50 UTC | 15% |
| 29 Oct, 19:43 UTC | 16% |
| 28 Oct, 15:55 UTC | 14% |
| 28 Oct, 14:49 UTC | 14% |
| 28 Oct, 11:10 UTC | 14% |
| 28 Oct, 09:48 UTC | 13% |
| 28 Oct, 07:08 UTC | 14% |
| 28 Oct, 04:17 UTC | 13% |
| 27 Oct, 23:38 UTC | 14% |
| 27 Oct, 23:05 UTC | 14% |
| 27 Oct, 13:48 UTC | 14% |
| 27 Oct, 13:18 UTC | 15% |
| 27 Oct, 12:57 UTC | 14% |
| 27 Oct, 11:22 UTC | 14% |
| 27 Oct, 10:49 UTC | 13% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to "Yes" if the daily high price for the active month of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures exceeds $147.27 on any trading day by December 31. The outcome depends strictly on the official daily high published by the CME Group, not on news headlines or other price sources. Readers often mistake the linked news story for the resolution data, but only finalized CME prices count toward the result.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 17%
- No 84%
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