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Israelis Vote Amidst Netanyahu's Hardline Pivot and Opposition Pushback Hot: $232k traded on its market in 24 hours

Voters head to the polls in a tight race between Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and challenger Gadi Eisenkot, with Netanyahu promoting hawkish policies including potential crypto use and regime change in Iran.

34 sources

Polymarket Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? 28%

Ukraine Says Starlink Speeds Restored After Elon Musk-Ordered Slowdown

Ukrainian officials confirm full Starlink speeds are restored after Elon Musk admitted throttling the service due to military violations.

34 sources

Kalshi Ukraine 6%

US Orders Diplomatic Drawdown in Middle East Amid Advanced Iranian Attack Plots

The US has ordered diplomats to leave Saudi Arabia and reduced staffing elsewhere after intelligence warned Iran's plots against Americans have reached advanced stages.

30 sources

Kalshi Before 2027 5%

US Orders Diplomats to Leave Saudi Arabia Amid Houthi Attacks

The US State Department ordered non-emergency personnel to depart as Houthi rebels intensified strikes on Saudi infrastructure, killing three people.

22 sources

Polymarket Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31? 26% −5

Melania Trump brokers localized ceasefire in Russian-occupied Oleshky Hot: $901k traded on its market in 24 hours

The White House states that a temporary pause in fighting will allow humanitarian aid to enter the city and enable civilian evacuations.

32 sources

Polymarket Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? 7%

Russia strikes Kyiv hours after agreeing to resume peace talks Hot: $901k traded on its market in 24 hours

Russian missiles kill at least two people in the Ukrainian capital shortly after Vladimir Putin agreed to resume trilateral negotiations with US envoy Steve Witkoff.

29 sources

Polymarket Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? 100%

France Deploys Massive Security Force Ahead of New Mass Protests Hot: $110k traded on its market in 24 hours

Authorities mobilize tens of thousands of police to prevent a repeat of last week's riots as hundreds of thousands march over school funding and living costs.

28 sources Priced in

Polymarket France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30? 14% −1

Modi Highlights India’s Strategic Role Amid Global Shifts

Prime Minister Narendra Modi warns against weaponizing supply chains while business leaders discuss investment opportunities in India and Japan.

13 sources

Kalshi India 15%

India Faces Crisis as 130 Million Struck From Voter Rolls Amid Protests

The Supreme Court prepares to hear challenges to the electoral overhaul that removed 130 million names, sparking nationwide unrest and diplomatic friction.

17 sources

Kalshi Rahul Gandhi 35%

Kim Jong Un crosses new bridge into China for first trip in over a year Hot: $130k traded on its market in 24 hours

North Korean leader Kim Jong Un arrived in the Chinese border city of Dandong via the New Yalu River Bridge, marking his first known trip abroad in more than a year.

8 sources Priced in

Kalshi Kim Jong Un 23% +3

Myanmar's Aung San Suu Kyi speaks to son for first time in five years

Detained former leader Aung San Suu Kyi spoke with her son Kim Aris after five years, while also receiving a package from King Charles III.

6 sources

Polymarket Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027? 2% −2

US Election Costs, China AI Push, Venezuela Polls and Chile Losses Dominate Bloomberg Coverage

Bloomberg reports on the record cost of US midterm elections, China's humanoid robot advantage, Venezuela's polling, and financial losses in Chile.

6 sources

Kalshi Before Jan 1, 2027 33% −6

Russia Sends First Diesel Shipment to US Following Trump-Putin Deal

Moscow dispatches a tanker carrying 40,000 metric tons of fuel as part of a new agreement aimed at easing domestic energy shortages ahead of midterm elections.

30 sources

Kalshi Yes 5% −1

European Summer Heat Kills 50,000, With Climate Change to Blame

A study published in Nature Health attributes more than half the deaths to human-caused global warming.

8 sources

Meghan Markle Distressed by Father's Child Abuse Probe in Philippines

The Duchess of Sussex says she is deeply distressed after the Philippines launched a probe into her estranged father for alleged possession of child sexual abuse images.

10 sources

Rubio Urges Cubans to Partner With CIA Amid India Visit

Secretary of State Marco Rubio urges Cubans to secretly collaborate with the CIA while visiting India to discuss trade and energy deals with Mukesh Ambani.

14 sources

Kalshi Cuba 15% −5

El Salvador Deploys Special Forces to Haiti After Soldiers Abducted by Gangs

President Nayib Bukele has launched a military operation and sent 100 special forces troops to rescue four missing soldiers from the UN-backed force.

7 sources

France Deploys 70,000 Police and Bans Protests to Quell Unrest Hot: $110k traded on its market in 24 hours

President Emmanuel Macron orders mass police deployment and bans demonstrations to prevent further violence following recent riots.

15 sources

Polymarket France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30? 14% −1

Gunmen Kill at Least Seven in Church Attack in Jordan

Masked gunmen opened fire during a funeral at a Greek Orthodox church in Karak, killing seven and wounding dozens as authorities hunt the assailants.

13 sources

US Warns Iran Plots to Kill Americans Have Reached Advanced Stages Hot: $195k traded on its market in 24 hours

A declassified intelligence memo warns that Iranian efforts to target US personnel in the Middle East have substantially increased and reached advanced stages.

5 sources

Polymarket Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? 20% +2

US Accuses Canada of Election Meddling as Ottawa Bars Diplomats from US Candidates

The US embassy alleges Canadian interference via tariffs and ads, prompting Ottawa to restrict diplomat interactions with midterm candidates while Prime Minister Mark Carney dismisses the claims.

9 sources

Kalshi Canada 4% +1

South Korea Proposes Military Talks With North Amid Rising Border Tensions Hot: $130k traded on its market in 24 hours

Seoul seeks dialogue to prevent accidental clashes as Pyongyang strengthens ties with Russia and escalates border threats.

9 sources

Polymarket Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? 5%

Fire Destroys Hitler’s Eagle’s Nest Retreat in Bavaria; Suspect Arrested

German police arrested a suspect after a blaze gutted the historic Kehlsteinhaus mountain retreat in Bavaria, with authorities stating the structure is likely unsalvageable.

10 sources

Suspect Arrested After Racist Terrorist Shooting Kills One Near Paris

French authorities arrested a gunman in Trappes after he killed one person and wounded five others, including a 12-year-old girl, in an attack President Macron condemned as racist terrorism.

13 sources

Serbian Students Challenge Vučić in Pivotal Election Hot: $222k traded on its market in 24 hours

The leaderless Student List movement rallies supporters to oust Aleksandar Vučić’s party in Sunday’s parliamentary vote.

8 sources Odds +7

Polymarket Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? 28% +7

Tiger Shroff Shot At in Mumbai; Police Arrest Multiple Suspects in Plot

Mumbai police have arrested several suspects for firing on Tiger Shroff's car, revealing the gangsters targeted him after he praised Salman Khan.

4 sources

Singapore Investigates Firms as Indonesia Battles Worst Haze in Over a Decade

Singapore expands its probe into local firms linked to Indonesian wildfires, while student protests erupt across the archipelago demanding government accountability for the toxic haze.

15 sources

Serbian Voters Head to Polls Amid Fraud Fears and Overseas Access Issues

Aleksandar Vučić faces a tight parliamentary election in Serbia as voters abroad encounter logistical hurdles and concerns over electoral integrity mount.

4 sources

Kalshi Aleksandar Vučić 76% +9

Magnitude-7 Earthquake Kills at Least 16 in China's Tibet

The quake destroyed hundreds of homes and injured dozens, prompting President Xi Jinping to order urgent search and rescue operations in the high-altitude region.

12 sources