Kim Jong Un
Why it moved: +3 points at 07:27 UTC, after ABC News: North Korean leader Kim Jong Un visits China, South Korean news agency reports — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 20% |
| 24 Oct, 07:27 UTC | 20% |
| 23 Oct, 05:49 UTC | 17% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Donald Trump and Kim Jong Un meet in person between now and January 1, 2027. The outcome is No if they do not meet by that date. Readers often mistake the linked news story about Kim Jong Un traveling to China as a meeting with Trump, but only a direct encounter between Trump and Kim counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 20%
- No 80%