Weekly report card

Biggest stories

1. Binance Suffers $6.3bn Hack, Largest in Crypto History 26 publishers · 29 Oct
2. Patrick Stewart, Star Trek Captain and X-Men Actor, Dies at 86 23 publishers · 29 Oct
3. Jay-Z to Headline 2027 Super Bowl LXI Halftime Show at SoFi Stadium 23 publishers · 27 Oct
4. Microsoft Offers Buyouts to 60,000 Employees Amid AI Shift 20 publishers · 26 Oct
5. Alphabet Shares Plunge as AI Fears and Sales Misses Shake Tech Giants 20 publishers · 28 Oct
6. Spain investigates deadly Toledo train crash that killed 69 20 publishers · 27 Oct
7. Mbappe Apologises for Mao Comment as Chinese Brands Drop Him 20 publishers · 27 Oct
8. ECB President Christine Lagarde to Step Down Early in February 16 publishers · 29 Oct

Biggest swings

Markets on our stories whose odds covered the widest range during the week.

• Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? Between 2% and 98%
• Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October? Between 3% and 97%
• Will Netherlands participate in Eurovision 2027? Between 3% and 96% · On: Netherlands Withdraws From Eurovision 2027 Over Israel Sensitivities
• Courmayeur: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Ayla Aksu Between 4% and 97%
• Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 29? Between 2% and 94%
• Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on November 2, 2026? Between 2% and 94% · On: Google DeepMind Unveils Genie 4 World Model With Real-Time Audio And Steering
• Curitiba: Julia Riera vs Rebeka Masarova Between 6% and 97%
• Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026? Between 2% and 93% · On: OpenAI Faces Lawsuit from Texas AG and Investigation Over AI Safety Incidents

Close calls the market got right

• ✓Called itWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Favourite a day out: Yes at 95% · Result: Yes · 28 Oct 2026On: Crypto Week Ahead: Fed, BOE, BOJ Interest-Rate Decisions
• ✓Called itWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Favourite a day out: Yes at 70% · Result: Yes · 27 Oct 2026On: Kane, Mbappe and Messi headline Ballon d'Or shortlist as ceremony moves to London
• ✓Called itKylian Mbappe Favourite a day out: No at 82% · Result: No · 26 Oct 2026On: Yamal vs Mbappe Battle for Ballon d'Or Glory
• ✓Called itWill Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Favourite a day out: No at 82% · Result: No · 27 Oct 2026On: Real Madrid players face backlash for partially covering Ceuta solidarity shirt
• ✓Called itWill Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Favourite a day out: No at 89% · Result: No · 27 Oct 2026
• ✓Called itDetroit Favourite a day out: Yes at 62% · Result: Yes · 26 Oct 2026On: Lions Announce Starting Center Against Packers With Branch Return
• ✓Called itHarry Kane Favourite a day out: Yes at 71% · Result: Yes · 26 Oct 2026On: Harry Kane Equals England Appearance Record in 3-0 Win Over Czechia
• ✓Called itLakers vs. Clippers Favourite a day out: Lakers at 66% · Result: Lakers · 29 Oct 2026

Favourites that lost

• ✕MissedAmerican Dream Favourite a day out: No at 100% · Result: Yes · 29 Oct 2026
• ✕MissedAmerica First Favourite a day out: No at 100% · Result: Yes · 29 Oct 2026
• ✕MissedDrill / Drilling Favourite a day out: No at 100% · Result: Yes · 29 Oct 2026
• ✕MissedManufacture / Manufacturing Favourite a day out: No at 100% · Result: Yes · 29 Oct 2026
• ✕MissedAfford / Affordable / Affordability Favourite a day out: No at 100% · Result: Yes · 29 Oct 2026
• ✕MissedBiden Favourite a day out: No at 100% · Result: Yes · 29 Oct 2026
• ✕MissedBorder Favourite a day out: No at 100% · Result: Yes · 29 Oct 2026
• ✕MissedFraud Favourite a day out: No at 100% · Result: Yes · 29 Oct 2026

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