Weekly report card

Biggest stories

1. US marks 25th anniversary of 9/11 attacks with somber tributes 32 publishers · 9 Sept
2. Trump Downplays AI Risks as Industry Leaders Push for Safety Oversight 31 publishers · 9 Sept
3. Anthropic CEO Calls for AI Slowdown Amid Security and Development Concerns 27 publishers · 7 Sept
4. Apple Unveils First Foldable iPhone Duo Starting at $1,999 25 publishers · 7 Sept
5. Oil Prices Surge Past $107 as Conflict and Refinery Bottlenecks Drive Diesel to Record Highs 25 publishers · 7 Sept
6. Trump Pledges $5,000 Checks to Adults If Republicans Win Midterms 22 publishers · 10 Sept
7. Trump Tariffs Strain US-Canada Relations as Leaders Seek Deal 21 publishers · 8 Sept
8. Amodei, Altman and Musk call for slower AI development pace 20 publishers · 12 Sept

Biggest swings

Markets on our stories whose odds covered the widest range during the week.

• Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? Between 7% and 76%
• Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? Between 31% and 97% · On: F1 Drivers Brace for Punishing Debut at New Madring Circuit in Madrid
• Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? Between 21% and 85% · On: Antonelli wins Spanish Grand Prix as Norris misses out at Madring debut
• Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 32m? Between 39% and 98%
• Noche UFC: Brandon Moreno vs. Joseph Morales (Flyweight, Main Card) Between 41% and 96%
• Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open? Between 14% and 60% · On: Sabalenka Beats Noskova to Reach US Open Semis
• Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s US Open? Between 41% and 86%
• US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina Between 14% and 59% · On: Sabalenka beats Pegula to set up US Open final clash with Rybakina

Close calls the market got right

• ✓Called itWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12? Favourite a day out: Yes at 66% · Result: Yes · 12 Sept 2026
• ✓Called itWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-13? Favourite a day out: Yes at 86% · Result: Yes · 13 Sept 2026
• ✓Called itWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-12? Favourite a day out: Yes at 89% · Result: Yes · 12 Sept 2026
• ✓Called itWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-10? Favourite a day out: Yes at 90% · Result: Yes · 10 Sept 2026
• ✓Called itWill Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's US Open? Favourite a day out: No at 92% · Result: No · 12 Sept 2026
• ✓Called itWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-13? Favourite a day out: No at 71% · Result: No · 13 Sept 2026
• ✓Called itWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-13? Favourite a day out: Yes at 85% · Result: Yes · 13 Sept 2026
• ✓Called itWill Sunderland AFC win on 2026-09-12? Favourite a day out: No at 89% · Result: No · 12 Sept 2026

Favourites that lost

• ✕MissedExact Score: Comunicaciones FC 0 - 2 CD Marquense? Favourite a day out: No at 98% · Result: Yes · 10 Sept 2026
• ✕MissedSpread: SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden (-2.5) Favourite a day out: NEC at 98% · Result: SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden · 12 Sept 2026
• ✕MissedWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 10? Favourite a day out: No at 98% · Result: Yes · 10 Sept 2026
• ✕MissedExact Score: SK Slavia Praha 2 - 3 Racing Club de Lens? Favourite a day out: No at 97% · Result: Yes · 10 Sept 2026
• ✕MissedExact Score: Orsomarso SC 0 - 2 Tigres FC? Favourite a day out: No at 97% · Result: Yes · 10 Sept 2026
• ✕MissedFK Radnik Surdulica vs. FK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade: O/U 0.5 Favourite a day out: Over at 97% · Result: Under · 10 Sept 2026
• ✕MissedWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on September 10? Favourite a day out: No at 97% · Result: Yes · 10 Sept 2026
• ✕MissedExact Score: Atlanta United FC 2 - 3 Orlando City SC? Favourite a day out: No at 96% · Result: Yes · 9 Sept 2026

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