Week of 28 Sept 2026

Biggest stories

1. Nirvana Accepts MTV Video Vanguard Award From Chuck D 3 publishers · 28 Sept
2. Shaboozey Performs 'High Noon' With Gunna at VMAs 2 publishers · 28 Sept
3. Chuck Lorre Targets Trump and RFK Jr. in Political Speech at Angel Awards 1 publishers · 28 Sept
4. NFL Week 3 Overreactions: Purdy MVP Frontrunner, Giants Fine With Winston 1 publishers · 28 Sept
5. Newcastle Knights reach NRL preliminary final after stunning win over Penrith 1 publishers · 28 Sept
6. Valkyries host Paige Bueckers, Wings in Game 1 1 publishers · 28 Sept
7. The Assassin(s) Tops South Korean Box Office During Chuseok Holiday 1 publishers · 28 Sept
8. Rachel Dratch and Emma Bunton Present Pumpkin Spice at MTV VMAs 1 publishers · 28 Sept

Biggest swings

Markets on our stories whose odds covered the widest range during the week.

• Taylor Swift Between 6% and 83% · On: Madonna Opens VMAs, Lisa Wins Big at 2026 MTV Awards
• Madonna Between 29% and 97% · On: Madonna Opens VMAs, Lisa Wins Big at 2026 MTV Awards
• Taylor Swift Between 4% and 72% · On: Todd Rundgren Calls Taylor Swift 'Apotheosis of Mediocrity' and Says She Ruined Music
• Will Madonna win Artist of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? Between 35% and 97% · On: Taylor Swift to Receive Inaugural MTV VMA Artist Director Honors
• Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 on September 27? Between 17% and 71%
• SpaceX / SPCX Between 39% and 73% · On: Trump Makes Over 1,000 Stock Trades in July Worth Up to $270m
• Uncertainty Between 17% and 48% · On: Goldman Sees AI Capex Surge to $1.2 Trillion as Japan Tightens Data Center Scrutiny
• Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026? Between 32% and 62% · On: UN Experts Say US May Have Committed War Crimes in Iran Strikes

Close calls the market got right

• ✓Called itSpread: Cowboys (-3.5) Favourite a day out: Ravens at 75% · Result: Ravens · 28 Sept 2026
• ✓Called itKorea Open: Anna Bondar vs Renata Zarazua Favourite a day out: Anna Bondar at 65% · Result: Anna Bondar · 28 Sept 2026
• ✓Called itKorea Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Polina Kudermetova Favourite a day out: Kamilla Rakhimova at 69% · Result: Kamilla Rakhimova · 28 Sept 2026
• ✓Called itSpread: 49ers (-14.5) Favourite a day out: Cardinals at 69% · Result: Cardinals · 28 Sept 2026
• ✓Called itKorea Open: Tamara Zidansek vs Kimberly Birrell Favourite a day out: Kimberly Birrell at 62% · Result: Kimberly Birrell · 28 Sept 2026
• ✓Called itKorea Open: Katie Volynets vs Elvina Kalieva Favourite a day out: Katie Volynets at 76% · Result: Katie Volynets · 28 Sept 2026
• ✓Called itSpread: Vikings (-7.5) Favourite a day out: Buccaneers at 73% · Result: Buccaneers · 28 Sept 2026
• ✓Called itKorea Open: Lanlana Tararudee vs Moyuka Uchijima Favourite a day out: Lanlana Tararudee at 66% · Result: Lanlana Tararudee · 28 Sept 2026

Favourites that lost

• ✕MissedAbove 21M Favourite a day out: No at 100% · Result: Yes · 28 Sept 2026
• ✕MissedAshun Wu Favourite a day out: No at 100% · Result: Yes · 28 Sept 2026
• ✕MissedYuvraj Sandhu Favourite a day out: No at 100% · Result: Yes · 28 Sept 2026
• ✕MissedDan Bradbury Favourite a day out: No at 100% · Result: Yes · 28 Sept 2026
• ✕MissedDallas: 3+ wins in first 4 weeks Favourite a day out: Yes at 98% · Result: No · 28 Sept 2026
• ✕MissedFilippo Celli Favourite a day out: No at 94% · Result: Yes · 28 Sept 2026
• ✕MissedExact Score: Columbus Crew 2 - 1 Inter Miami CF? Favourite a day out: No at 93% · Result: Yes · 28 Sept 2026
• ✕MissedRacing Club Avellaneda vs. Boca Juniors: O/U 4.5 Favourite a day out: Under at 92% · Result: Over · 28 Sept 2026

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