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What is moving and trading right now, and how often the market's favourite has actually won.

Biggest 24-hour moves

Open markets that traded at least $10k in the last day, by how far the odds moved.

Most traded in 24 hours

Did the market call it?

Favourite won 79% 1,799 of 2,285 resolved markets
On contested calls 72% 1,238 of 1,712 where the favourite was under 95%

Two-outcome markets resolved in the last 30 days. The favourite is whichever outcome was priced higher about a day before the market resolved. Near-certain favourites win almost every time, which is why the contested rate is shown on its own.

Close calls it got right

Favourites that lost

Recently resolved