James Talarico
Implied probability 63%−1
24-hour volume$219k
Total volume$10.2M
Liquidity$10.2M
Resolves3 Nov 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 63% |
| 15 Oct, 16:36 UTC | 62% |
| 15 Oct, 16:07 UTC | 63% |
| 15 Oct, 15:12 UTC | 64% |
| 15 Oct, 14:57 UTC | 64% |
| 15 Oct, 14:06 UTC | 64% |
| 15 Oct, 13:52 UTC | 63% |
| 15 Oct, 13:17 UTC | 64% |
| 15 Oct, 12:51 UTC | 64% |
| 15 Oct, 12:23 UTC | 64% |
| 15 Oct, 11:53 UTC | 64% |
| 15 Oct, 10:52 UTC | 64% |
| 15 Oct, 09:16 UTC | 64% |
| 15 Oct, 07:55 UTC | 63% |
| 15 Oct, 06:46 UTC | 64% |
| 15 Oct, 05:34 UTC | 63% |
| 15 Oct, 01:48 UTC | 64% |
| 14 Oct, 23:14 UTC | 63% |
| 14 Oct, 21:56 UTC | 64% |
| 14 Oct, 20:38 UTC | 63% |
| 14 Oct, 19:21 UTC | 64% |
| 14 Oct, 18:05 UTC | 63% |
| 14 Oct, 15:32 UTC | 64% |
| 14 Oct, 14:23 UTC | 63% |
| 14 Oct, 09:17 UTC | 64% |
| 14 Oct, 08:03 UTC | 63% |
| 14 Oct, 06:49 UTC | 64% |
| 14 Oct, 05:35 UTC | 63% |
| 13 Oct, 22:11 UTC | 65% |
| 13 Oct, 19:38 UTC | 64% |
| 13 Oct, 10:44 UTC | 65% |
| 13 Oct, 09:26 UTC | 64% |
| 13 Oct, 04:34 UTC | 65% |
| 12 Oct, 19:56 UTC | 64% |
| 12 Oct, 16:19 UTC | 63% |
| 12 Oct, 11:32 UTC | 64% |
| 12 Oct, 10:15 UTC | 63% |
| 12 Oct, 06:32 UTC | 64% |
| 12 Oct, 04:03 UTC | 62% |
| 12 Oct, 02:46 UTC | 63% |
| 11 Oct, 22:58 UTC | 62% |
| 11 Oct, 21:43 UTC | 61% |
| 11 Oct, 20:27 UTC | 60% |
| 11 Oct, 19:24 UTC | 61% |
| 11 Oct, 13:51 UTC | 63% |
| 11 Oct, 10:27 UTC | 62% |
| 11 Oct, 07:54 UTC | 63% |
| 11 Oct, 06:37 UTC | 62% |
| 11 Oct, 05:23 UTC | 63% |
| 11 Oct, 02:54 UTC | 62% |
| 11 Oct, 00:20 UTC | 63% |
| 10 Oct, 23:04 UTC | 62% |
| 10 Oct, 11:41 UTC | 63% |
| 10 Oct, 10:24 UTC | 62% |
| 10 Oct, 01:53 UTC | 63% |
| 10 Oct, 00:39 UTC | 62% |
| 9 Oct, 23:25 UTC | 63% |
| 9 Oct, 20:55 UTC | 62% |
| 9 Oct, 19:37 UTC | 63% |
| 9 Oct, 18:20 UTC | 61% |
| 9 Oct, 17:03 UTC | 64% |
| 9 Oct, 15:48 UTC | 63% |
| 9 Oct, 14:31 UTC | 64% |
| 9 Oct, 10:40 UTC | 65% |
| 9 Oct, 03:20 UTC | 66% |
| 9 Oct, 02:07 UTC | 65% |
| 8 Oct, 23:42 UTC | 66% |
| 8 Oct, 21:13 UTC | 65% |
| 8 Oct, 18:46 UTC | 64% |
| 8 Oct, 17:34 UTC | 66% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The outcome is Yes if a Democrat takes office as a U.S. Senator from Texas starting in 2027. The outcome is No if that does not happen. Readers often mistake the fundraising milestone for the resolution condition, but only the sworn-in status of a Democratic senator matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 63%
- No 37%