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The Justice Department filed a lawsuit in Alaska seeking to block election certification if incumbent Republican Sen. Dan Sullivan loses, citing voter confusion from a candidate with the same name.
Kalshi Republican Party 17% −1Early voting numbers rise sharply in key states, giving Democrats hope for a turnout advantage as the election nears.
Kalshi Republican Party 4%Democrats and Republicans exchange insults over foreign ties and donations as the pivotal Michigan Senate race enters its final days.
President Trump rallies in Florida and Iowa while former President Obama and Vice President Harris prepare to campaign for Democrats in key swing states.
Kalshi Before Jan 1, 2027 25%The Cook Political Report moves the Ohio gubernatorial contest from toss-up to lean Democrat following backlash against Vivek Ramaswamy's ad featuring Amy Acton's estranged mother.
A federal judge halted DHS field operations investigating noncitizen voting in nine states, citing potential violations of the Voting Rights Act.
Kalshi Yes 13% −5The prime minister plans to cut beer duty, raise online sales taxes, and outline fiscal devolution in the upcoming Budget.
Kalshi Before Jan 1, 2027 7%President Trump ordered exemptions for nine categories of Canadian agricultural products, a move announced by Senator Susan Collins to aid her tight re-election campaign in Maine.
Kalshi Before Dec 1, 2026 75% +39President Trump demands Rep. Ilhan Omar resign over alleged immigration fraud, while she cites safety threats after a federal raid on her home.
The Justice Department filed a preemptive lawsuit in federal court to block the certification of Alaska's Senate results if Republican Dan Sullivan loses, citing voter confusion with another candidate bearing his name.
Plummeting consumer sentiment and high inflation drive young voters to oppose President Trump as midterms approach.
Former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg has endorsed independent candidate Seth Bodnar for the Montana Senate seat, rejecting Democratic nominee Alani Bankhead despite DNC denials of a quid pro quo offer.
Kalshi Republican Party 35% +2The US Treasury Department has proposed new rules to restrict American outbound investments in AI and other high-tech sectors targeting adversaries like China.
Polymarket Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? 25% +3Katie Zacharia becomes the shortest-serving press secretary after five days, prompting a Politico correction regarding Susie Wiles and speculation on her successor.
Polymarket Will Katie Zacharia give another press briefing as Press Secretary? 3%New polling shows a dead heat between Ken Paxton and James Talarico, while Neil Bush endorses the Democrat and Elon Musk backs Paxton.
Kalshi Paxton defeats Talarico 38% +2The administration pledges $8 billion in fuel payments to farmers while invoking the Defense Production Act to boost domestic gas output.
Kalshi During his presidential term 23%Japan and the US conduct joint military drills while China condemns Tokyo's shrine visits and pressures Manila and Palau over maritime disputes.
Polymarket China x Japan military clash before 2027? 4%President Trump is considering relocating the White House press corps to a different building, following reports he contemplated converting their briefing room into a swimming pool.
Kalshi Trump (3+ times) 80%Chancellor John Healey will unveil hundreds of millions for AI security, a £20bn boost for infrastructure, and deregulation measures in his first budget.
Kalshi Labour majority 11%Federal authorities charge the Virginia state senator with racketeering, drug trafficking, and money laundering in connection with an alleged family marijuana enterprise.
EU officials urge the UK, Canada and Japan to increase financial support for Kyiv's defence as Russia escalates hybrid warfare across Europe.
Polymarket Will Russia invade another country in 2026? 5%Young candidates from both parties aim to address housing costs, while surveys show Gen Z and millennials face wealth declines and delayed family formation.
President Trump on Wednesday said his success in freeing an American wrongly imprisoned in Russia was related to his much-criticized decision to hold back on imposing sanctions on Russia aimed at strangling its ability
Vice President J.D. Vance believes President Donald Trump will endorse his potential 2028 presidential campaign, though the president declined to confirm this support.
Kalshi J.D. Vance 47%Elon Musk and Donald Trump have collectively spent over $800 million to support Republican candidates in the upcoming US midterm elections.
Kalshi At least 250 billion 6%Nikki Floris and Bradley Benavides surrendered in Washington DC after the Department of Justice charged them with making false statements regarding their investigation into Hunter Biden's laptop.
Calley Means resigns as senior adviser to Health Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr., citing frustration with stalled progress on the Make America Healthy Again food agenda ahead of midterm elections.
Kalshi Before 2027 4% −2A federal judge has ordered President Donald Trump to sit for a deposition with BBC lawyers by December 11 or face sanctions including dismissal of the defamation case.
The candidates face a close second round with implications for South American politics, business ties, and national debt.
Kalshi Mexico 81%The UK government has approved the Jackdaw gasfield, prompting pledges from Andy Burnham to maintain net-zero targets while Miatta Fahnbulleh considers rejecting the Rosebank oilfield.
Chancellor John Healey will allocate £7m in his first budget for a feasibility study on hosting the Games in northern England during the 2040s.
China's Communist Party convenes an early Politburo session to review inspection reports and reinforce discipline before the fifth plenum.
President Trump criticizes the court for allowing two candidates with similar names to run in the Alaska Senate race.
Kalshi Alaska 61% −2Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth issued a memo prohibiting US forces from using undisclosed information to wager on prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi.
Polymarket Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? 23% +2The Czech ruling coalition advanced public media funding changes through a parliamentary hurdle, drawing criticism that the move threatens broadcaster independence.
Following allegations of sexual assault, Cornell University faces a no-confidence vote, and a former student stated she felt unsupported by the university president, Michael Kotlikoff.
The Supreme Court permitted the state to reject student identification cards for midterm elections, citing potential voter confusion.
Kalshi New Hampshire 87% −1FCC Chairman Brendan Carr threatens regulatory action over election coverage, prompting sole Democrat Anna Gomez to urge broadcasters to resist the pressure.
Helen Haines has lost both legs following an alleged deliberate vehicle attack by Brendan Nugent outside her Wangaratta electorate office.
AISA president Neha Bora refuses to sign a peace bond notice, citing democratic dissent rights after the Delhi High Court rejected her plea against the order.
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