Before Jul 1, 2027
Implied probability 42%−2
24-hour volume$1
Total volume$1k
Liquidity$1k
Resolves1 Jul 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 42% |
| 1 Oct, 15:27 UTC | 42% |
| 30 Sept, 15:09 UTC | 44% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to 'Yes' if Trump's name appears on the Kennedy Center facade, as confirmed by any of the Source Agencies, before July 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to 'No.' Readers often mistakenly believe that mere rumors or unconfirmed reports are sufficient for a 'Yes' resolution.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 42%
- No 58%