NewsMarkets

News vs. market

Where coverage and the odds disagree. A widely covered story with a market that has not moved means traders do not think the news changes the outcome. A market moving hard on a story the news has gone quiet on means traders are reacting to something coverage has not caught up with.

Big story, market unmoved

At least 6 publishers covered it in the last 24 hours, while its busiest undecided market moved 3 points or less. Markets priced above 90% or below 10% are left out: they have little room to move.

Nothing right now: the markets moved with the news.

Market moving, news quiet

The story's market moved at least 10 points in 24 hours while 1 publisher or fewer covered it.

Nothing right now: no market is out ahead of the news.

Both lists only count markets that traded at least $10k in the last day. A market that barely trades sits still whatever the news.