Democrats sweep
Implied probability 63%−1
24-hour volume$81k
Total volume$4.5M
Liquidity$4.5M
Resolves1 Feb 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 63% |
| 5 Oct, 15:35 UTC | 63% |
| 5 Oct, 12:50 UTC | 64% |
| 5 Oct, 11:30 UTC | 63% |
| 5 Oct, 09:01 UTC | 64% |
| 5 Oct, 07:49 UTC | 63% |
| 5 Oct, 03:00 UTC | 64% |
| 5 Oct, 01:48 UTC | 63% |
| 5 Oct, 00:36 UTC | 64% |
| 4 Oct, 22:10 UTC | 63% |
| 4 Oct, 20:58 UTC | 64% |
| 4 Oct, 19:46 UTC | 65% |
| 4 Oct, 18:33 UTC | 63% |
| 4 Oct, 17:20 UTC | 65% |
| 4 Oct, 15:58 UTC | 64% |
| 4 Oct, 14:46 UTC | 63% |
| 4 Oct, 13:24 UTC | 64% |
| 4 Oct, 10:57 UTC | 63% |
| 4 Oct, 05:54 UTC | 64% |
| 4 Oct, 03:34 UTC | 62% |
| 3 Oct, 23:55 UTC | 64% |
| 3 Oct, 22:43 UTC | 63% |
| 3 Oct, 20:17 UTC | 65% |
| 3 Oct, 17:49 UTC | 64% |
| 3 Oct, 16:32 UTC | 63% |
| 3 Oct, 13:58 UTC | 62% |
| 3 Oct, 12:43 UTC | 63% |
| 3 Oct, 11:21 UTC | 62% |
| 3 Oct, 08:48 UTC | 63% |
| 3 Oct, 07:38 UTC | 62% |
| 3 Oct, 06:19 UTC | 64% |
| 3 Oct, 05:03 UTC | 63% |
| 3 Oct, 01:14 UTC | 64% |
| 3 Oct, 00:03 UTC | 63% |
| 2 Oct, 21:29 UTC | 64% |
| 2 Oct, 20:11 UTC | 62% |
| 2 Oct, 18:55 UTC | 64% |
| 2 Oct, 17:37 UTC | 62% |
| 2 Oct, 16:23 UTC | 63% |
| 2 Oct, 15:02 UTC | 61% |
| 2 Oct, 12:30 UTC | 62% |
| 2 Oct, 09:53 UTC | 61% |
| 2 Oct, 02:23 UTC | 62% |
| 2 Oct, 01:13 UTC | 61% |
| 2 Oct, 00:03 UTC | 62% |
| 1 Oct, 21:37 UTC | 61% |
| 1 Oct, 20:22 UTC | 62% |
| 1 Oct, 17:57 UTC | 61% |
| 1 Oct, 16:44 UTC | 62% |
| 1 Oct, 15:27 UTC | 61% |
| 1 Oct, 10:35 UTC | 62% |
| 1 Oct, 05:40 UTC | 61% |
| 1 Oct, 04:30 UTC | 62% |
| 1 Oct, 03:19 UTC | 61% |
| 1 Oct, 00:44 UTC | 62% |
| 30 Sept, 23:32 UTC | 61% |
| 30 Sept, 21:08 UTC | 62% |
| 30 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 61% |
| 30 Sept, 14:50 UTC | 62% |
| 30 Sept, 12:16 UTC | 61% |
| 30 Sept, 06:05 UTC | 62% |
| 30 Sept, 03:34 UTC | 61% |
| 29 Sept, 23:46 UTC | 62% |
| 29 Sept, 22:30 UTC | 61% |
| 29 Sept, 19:54 UTC | 62% |
| 29 Sept, 17:16 UTC | 61% |
| 29 Sept, 14:36 UTC | 62% |
| 29 Sept, 11:56 UTC | 61% |
| 28 Sept, 19:18 UTC | 62% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The outcome is Yes only if Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the election. The outcome is No if either chamber remains under Republican control or if neither party holds a majority. Readers often mistake this for a prediction of individual seat counts rather than final party control of each chamber.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 63%
- No 37%