During his presidential term
Implied probability 22%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$17k
Liquidity$17k
Resolves31 Dec 2031
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 22% |
| 27 Sept, 12:13 UTC | 22% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if income inequality in the United States is higher in 2024 than it is in 2028. It resolves to No if inequality is lower or equal in 2024 compared to 2028. Readers often mistake the linked news story about fuel economy standards as the deciding factor, but the resolution depends solely on economic inequality data.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 22%
- No 78%