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Trump Says Deportation Policy Was Too Tough After Midterm Losses

The president told CBS that his administration was too aggressive on deportations and offered to negotiate a deal with Democrats.

9 publishers · 13 articles · first seen 9 Nov 2026 · updated 16h ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

First reported by politico.com, 1h 37m ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first

The odds

How the odds moved · During his presidential term
0%50%100%23%10 Nov, 03:01 UTCnowThe Guardian: Democrats push to rein in Trump on immigration after voter backlash to ICE raids · 11 Nov, 23:42 UTCSouth China Morning Post: Asian-Americans rejected Trump’s ICE raids, but will anything change? · 10 Nov, 11:00 UTCFox News Politics: Trump says deportation push hasn’t put 'same pressure' on farm workers, hotel staff: 'Not even close' · 10 Nov, 07:53 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story · 10 more published before price tracking began

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now23%
10 Nov, 03:01 UTC23%

The story so far

9 publishers have covered this in 13 articles since 9 Nov 2026. politico.com published first, on 9 November at 02:22 UTC; The Guardian followed 1h 37m later. The most recent article, from The Guardian, appeared on 11 November at 23:42 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: politico.com (major outlet), The Guardian (major outlet), Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), Deutsche Welle, businessinsider.com, France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines, Rolling Stone, Fox News Politics, South China Morning Post.

3 prediction markets price this story:

  • During his presidential term — the market puts it at 23%, closing 31 Dec 2031. The market resolves to Yes if income inequality in the United States is higher in 2024 than it is in 2028. It resolves to No if inequality is lower or equal in 2024 compared to 2028. Readers often mistake the linked news story about fuel economy standards as the deciding factor, but the resolution depends solely on economic inequality data.
  • During Trump's term — the market puts it at 10%, with $396 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 20 Jan 2029. The market resolves to Yes if the United States government takes control of any part of the Panama Canal before January 20, 2029. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked story about tariffs for the relevant event, but only actual control of the canal counts.
  • Before Jan 1, 2027 — the market puts it at 4%, with $365 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if martial law is imposed in the United States before January 1, 2027. It resolves to No if that condition does not occur by the deadline. Readers often mistake general immigration enforcement or executive orders for martial law.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on During his presidential term at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

  1. politico.comTrump says his deportation agenda was ‘too tough,’ repeating interest in a deal with Dems—
  2. The GuardianTrump tells 60 Minutes that deportation policy was ‘too tough’—
  3. Deutsche WelleUS President Donald Trump says deportation policy was 'too tough' for voters—
  4. businessinsider.comTrump considers fresh immigration deal for undocumented immigrants after controversial policy that sent over 500 migrants to Africa—
  5. France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesTrump says deportation crackdown was 'too tough' after midterm setback—
  6. Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraTrump says his immigration policy ‘too tough’ for voters—
  7. The GuardianDeportation policy ‘might have been too tough’, says Trump, as Miller starts chief-of-staff role – US politics live—
  8. France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesTrump admits deportation policy 'might have been too tough'—
  9. Rolling StoneTrump, Who Just Promoted Stephen Miller, Says Immigration Crackdown May Have Been ‘Too Tough’—
  10. Fox News PoliticsWhite House doubles down after Trump angers base by floating illegal alien deal with Dems—
  11. Show 3 later sources
    1. Fox News PoliticsTrump says deportation push hasn’t put 'same pressure' on farm workers, hotel staff: 'Not even close'23%
    2. South China Morning PostAsian-Americans rejected Trump’s ICE raids, but will anything change?23%
    3. The GuardianDemocrats push to rein in Trump on immigration after voter backlash to ICE raids23%
  12. Current odds23%

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Democrats push to rein in Trump on immigration after voter backlash to ICE raids The Guardian ·
  2. Deportation policy ‘might have been too tough’, says Trump, as Miller starts chief-of-staff role – US politics live The Guardian ·
  3. Trump says his immigration policy ‘too tough’ for voters Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
  4. Trump tells 60 Minutes that deportation policy was ‘too tough’ The Guardian ·
  5. Trump says his deportation agenda was ‘too tough,’ repeating interest in a deal with Dems politico.com ·
  6. Asian-Americans rejected Trump’s ICE raids, but will anything change? South China Morning Post
Show 7 more sources
  1. Trump says deportation push hasn’t put 'same pressure' on farm workers, hotel staff: 'Not even close' Fox News Politics
  2. White House doubles down after Trump angers base by floating illegal alien deal with Dems Fox News Politics
  3. Trump, Who Just Promoted Stephen Miller, Says Immigration Crackdown May Have Been ‘Too Tough’ Rolling Stone
  4. Trump admits deportation policy 'might have been too tough' France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
  5. Trump says deportation crackdown was 'too tough' after midterm setback France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
  6. Trump considers fresh immigration deal for undocumented immigrants after controversial policy that sent over 500 migrants to Africa businessinsider.com
  7. US President Donald Trump says deportation policy was 'too tough' for voters Deutsche Welle

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

  • Kalshi During his presidential term 23% $0 24hends 31 Dec 2031

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi During Trump's term · Will Trump take back the Panama Canal? 10% $396 24hends 20 Jan 2029

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Before Jan 1, 2027 4% +2 $365 24hends 1 Jan 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

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