Trump's Economic Approval Hits New Low Amid Inflation Concerns Hot: Odds moved 17 points in 24 hours

The story so far

3 publishers have covered this in 3 articles since 1 Oct 2026. Times of India published first, on 1 October at 11:46 UTC; The Hill followed 1h 27m later. The most recent article, from Fortune, appeared on 1 October at 15:52 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: The Hill (major outlet), Times of India, Fortune.

2 prediction markets price this story:

• Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? — the market puts it at 30%, with $4k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 4 Jan 2027. The Yes outcome occurs if Nate Silver’s approval rating drops to 35% or lower at any point during 2026. The rating must come from Silver Bulletin’s green trend line, and only finalized data points count toward the result. Readers often mistake the linked news story for the official source or assume any poll below 35% triggers the outcome.
• Below 36% — the market puts it at 63%, with $2k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 7 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if Donald Trump's approval rating falls below 36% at any point between December 11, 2025, and December 31, 2026, as reported by VoteHub. The outcome is No if his approval rating stays at 36% or higher throughout that entire period. Readers often mistake the specific date of the linked news story for the deadline, but only data from VoteHub during the specified window counts.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.