Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Implied probability 1%
24-hour volume$45k
Total volume$11.0M
Liquidity$790k
Resolves8 Nov 2028
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 5 Nov, 16:51 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 16:49 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 05:31 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 05:09 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 04:25 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Nov, 03:18 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Nov, 02:49 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Nov, 00:22 UTC | 2% |
| 3 Nov, 22:56 UTC | 1% |
| 3 Nov, 17:51 UTC | 1% |
| 1 Nov, 13:09 UTC | 2% |
| 1 Nov, 11:48 UTC | 2% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump wins the 2028 US Presidential Election and No otherwise. It relies on the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC calling the race for the same candidate. If these sources do not agree by January 20, 2029, the outcome depends on who is inaugurated.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%
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