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Markets on Democrats

Coverage vs. odds, last two weeks

How much the press wrote about Democrats each day, and what its busiest market did over the same days.

43 0 15 Oct: 34 articles 16 Oct: 25 articles 17 Oct: 7 articles 18 Oct: 16 articles 19 Oct: 34 articles 20 Oct: 43 articles 21 Oct: 31 articles 22 Oct: 29 articles 23 Oct: 30 articles 24 Oct: 13 articles 25 Oct: 23 articles 26 Oct: 29 articles 27 Oct: 38 articles 28 Oct: 0 articles 15 Oct22 Oct28 Oct
352 articles in 14 days, per day.

Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 4% and 6%?

How the odds moved · Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 4% and 6%?
0%50%100%8%20 Oct, 18:52 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now8%
27 Oct, 18:49 UTC8%
27 Oct, 14:07 UTC7%
27 Oct, 13:57 UTC8%
27 Oct, 12:42 UTC8%
27 Oct, 12:00 UTC8%
27 Oct, 11:22 UTC8%
27 Oct, 10:12 UTC8%
27 Oct, 09:51 UTC8%
27 Oct, 09:16 UTC8%
21 Oct, 11:24 UTC8%
21 Oct, 10:54 UTC8%
21 Oct, 10:24 UTC8%
21 Oct, 08:44 UTC8%
21 Oct, 06:58 UTC8%
21 Oct, 04:26 UTC8%
21 Oct, 02:34 UTC8%
21 Oct, 02:27 UTC8%
21 Oct, 00:14 UTC8%
20 Oct, 23:42 UTC9%
20 Oct, 23:14 UTC9%
20 Oct, 22:59 UTC9%
20 Oct, 22:17 UTC9%
20 Oct, 21:27 UTC8%
20 Oct, 18:52 UTC8%

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