Democracy
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the top-ranked voter concern in the 2026 US House exit polls is Democracy. It resolves to No if any other issue ranks higher. Readers often mistake current polling data for the final exit poll results.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%