Republicans

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Markets on Republicans

Coverage vs. odds, last two weeks

How much the press wrote about Republicans each day, and what its busiest market did over the same days.

346 articles in 14 days, per day.

Republicans sweep

How the odds moved · Republicans sweep

Price data

Time	Chance of yes
now	6%
30 Oct, 16:54 UTC	7%
30 Oct, 16:25 UTC	7%
30 Oct, 15:50 UTC	7%
30 Oct, 15:21 UTC	7%
30 Oct, 14:58 UTC	7%
30 Oct, 14:23 UTC	7%
30 Oct, 13:58 UTC	7%
30 Oct, 13:13 UTC	7%
30 Oct, 12:52 UTC	7%
30 Oct, 12:24 UTC	7%
30 Oct, 11:52 UTC	8%
30 Oct, 11:10 UTC	8%
30 Oct, 10:50 UTC	8%
30 Oct, 10:20 UTC	8%
30 Oct, 09:58 UTC	8%
30 Oct, 09:29 UTC	8%
30 Oct, 08:55 UTC	8%
30 Oct, 08:02 UTC	8%
30 Oct, 04:43 UTC	8%
30 Oct, 04:22 UTC	8%
30 Oct, 03:54 UTC	8%
30 Oct, 01:28 UTC	8%
30 Oct, 00:56 UTC	8%
30 Oct, 00:28 UTC	8%
29 Oct, 23:26 UTC	8%
29 Oct, 21:55 UTC	8%
29 Oct, 21:00 UTC	8%
29 Oct, 20:16 UTC	8%
29 Oct, 19:43 UTC	8%
29 Oct, 19:29 UTC	8%
29 Oct, 17:59 UTC	9%
29 Oct, 17:26 UTC	8%
29 Oct, 16:57 UTC	8%
29 Oct, 16:00 UTC	8%
29 Oct, 15:53 UTC	8%
29 Oct, 15:22 UTC	8%
29 Oct, 14:55 UTC	8%
29 Oct, 13:46 UTC	8%
29 Oct, 13:22 UTC	8%
29 Oct, 12:59 UTC	8%
29 Oct, 11:56 UTC	9%
29 Oct, 10:34 UTC	9%
29 Oct, 10:04 UTC	9%
29 Oct, 09:55 UTC	9%
29 Oct, 05:51 UTC	9%
29 Oct, 04:35 UTC	9%
29 Oct, 04:28 UTC	9%
29 Oct, 03:35 UTC	9%
29 Oct, 03:00 UTC	9%
29 Oct, 02:53 UTC	9%
29 Oct, 02:20 UTC	9%
29 Oct, 01:59 UTC	9%
29 Oct, 01:02 UTC	9%
29 Oct, 00:48 UTC	9%
29 Oct, 00:20 UTC	9%
28 Oct, 23:54 UTC	9%
28 Oct, 22:18 UTC	9%
28 Oct, 21:57 UTC	9%
28 Oct, 21:22 UTC	9%
28 Oct, 20:37 UTC	9%
28 Oct, 19:48 UTC	9%
28 Oct, 19:26 UTC	9%
28 Oct, 18:45 UTC	9%
28 Oct, 18:29 UTC	9%
28 Oct, 17:47 UTC	9%
28 Oct, 17:23 UTC	9%
28 Oct, 16:59 UTC	8%
28 Oct, 16:24 UTC	9%
28 Oct, 14:14 UTC	9%
28 Oct, 13:31 UTC	9%
28 Oct, 13:24 UTC	9%
28 Oct, 12:57 UTC	9%
28 Oct, 12:19 UTC	9%
28 Oct, 11:37 UTC	9%
28 Oct, 11:03 UTC	9%
28 Oct, 09:55 UTC	9%
28 Oct, 09:10 UTC	9%
28 Oct, 08:56 UTC	9%
28 Oct, 08:22 UTC	9%
28 Oct, 07:56 UTC	9%
28 Oct, 07:08 UTC	9%
28 Oct, 06:27 UTC	9%
28 Oct, 05:58 UTC	9%
28 Oct, 04:49 UTC	9%
28 Oct, 04:03 UTC	9%
28 Oct, 03:56 UTC	9%
28 Oct, 03:29 UTC	9%
28 Oct, 01:42 UTC	9%
28 Oct, 01:28 UTC	9%
28 Oct, 00:35 UTC	9%
28 Oct, 00:14 UTC	9%
27 Oct, 23:52 UTC	9%
27 Oct, 23:05 UTC	9%
27 Oct, 21:40 UTC	9%
27 Oct, 21:19 UTC	9%
27 Oct, 20:46 UTC	9%
27 Oct, 20:17 UTC	9%
27 Oct, 18:49 UTC	9%
27 Oct, 18:19 UTC	9%
27 Oct, 17:28 UTC	9%
27 Oct, 16:45 UTC	9%
27 Oct, 16:15 UTC	9%
27 Oct, 15:56 UTC	9%
27 Oct, 15:27 UTC	9%
27 Oct, 13:48 UTC	9%
27 Oct, 13:18 UTC	9%
27 Oct, 12:42 UTC	9%
27 Oct, 11:22 UTC	10%
27 Oct, 10:56 UTC	9%
27 Oct, 10:20 UTC	9%
27 Oct, 09:22 UTC	10%
27 Oct, 08:54 UTC	9%
27 Oct, 08:27 UTC	10%
27 Oct, 07:44 UTC	9%
27 Oct, 07:17 UTC	10%
27 Oct, 06:56 UTC	9%
27 Oct, 05:54 UTC	10%
27 Oct, 05:27 UTC	9%
27 Oct, 04:33 UTC	10%
27 Oct, 04:26 UTC	10%
27 Oct, 03:59 UTC	10%
27 Oct, 03:19 UTC	10%
27 Oct, 02:58 UTC	9%
27 Oct, 01:39 UTC	9%
27 Oct, 01:25 UTC	10%
27 Oct, 00:59 UTC	9%
26 Oct, 23:38 UTC	10%
26 Oct, 23:24 UTC	9%
26 Oct, 22:22 UTC	10%
26 Oct, 21:45 UTC	10%
26 Oct, 21:18 UTC	9%
26 Oct, 18:57 UTC	10%
26 Oct, 18:19 UTC	10%
26 Oct, 17:36 UTC	10%
26 Oct, 17:28 UTC	9%
26 Oct, 16:59 UTC	10%
26 Oct, 16:24 UTC	10%
26 Oct, 15:54 UTC	10%
26 Oct, 15:17 UTC	10%
26 Oct, 14:30 UTC	10%
26 Oct, 14:03 UTC	10%
26 Oct, 13:55 UTC	10%
26 Oct, 13:06 UTC	10%
26 Oct, 12:47 UTC	10%
26 Oct, 12:03 UTC	11%
26 Oct, 11:49 UTC	10%
26 Oct, 11:24 UTC	11%
26 Oct, 10:42 UTC	10%
26 Oct, 09:39 UTC	11%
26 Oct, 09:24 UTC	10%
26 Oct, 08:30 UTC	11%
26 Oct, 07:37 UTC	10%
26 Oct, 06:34 UTC	11%
26 Oct, 06:27 UTC	10%
26 Oct, 04:57 UTC	11%
26 Oct, 04:04 UTC	10%
26 Oct, 03:41 UTC	10%
26 Oct, 03:27 UTC	10%
26 Oct, 02:48 UTC	10%
26 Oct, 02:27 UTC	10%
26 Oct, 01:52 UTC	10%
26 Oct, 01:27 UTC	10%
26 Oct, 00:54 UTC	10%
25 Oct, 23:25 UTC	10%
25 Oct, 20:56 UTC	10%
25 Oct, 20:26 UTC	10%
25 Oct, 19:25 UTC	10%
25 Oct, 18:57 UTC	10%
25 Oct, 17:42 UTC	10%
25 Oct, 15:46 UTC	10%
25 Oct, 15:25 UTC	10%
25 Oct, 14:41 UTC	10%
25 Oct, 14:27 UTC	10%
25 Oct, 13:56 UTC	9%
25 Oct, 13:17 UTC	10%
25 Oct, 12:10 UTC	9%
25 Oct, 11:42 UTC	10%
25 Oct, 11:14 UTC	9%
25 Oct, 10:49 UTC	10%
25 Oct, 06:48 UTC	10%
25 Oct, 06:28 UTC	10%
25 Oct, 05:51 UTC	9%
25 Oct, 04:49 UTC	10%
25 Oct, 04:05 UTC	9%
25 Oct, 03:51 UTC	10%
25 Oct, 03:23 UTC	10%
25 Oct, 02:35 UTC	10%
25 Oct, 02:28 UTC	9%
25 Oct, 01:08 UTC	9%
25 Oct, 00:50 UTC	9%
25 Oct, 00:29 UTC	9%
24 Oct, 23:41 UTC	9%
24 Oct, 23:26 UTC	9%
24 Oct, 20:37 UTC	9%
24 Oct, 20:05 UTC	9%
24 Oct, 19:58 UTC	9%
24 Oct, 18:36 UTC	9%
24 Oct, 18:29 UTC	9%
24 Oct, 17:54 UTC	9%
24 Oct, 16:15 UTC	9%
24 Oct, 15:48 UTC	9%
24 Oct, 14:47 UTC	9%
24 Oct, 14:27 UTC	9%
24 Oct, 13:07 UTC	9%
24 Oct, 08:23 UTC	9%
24 Oct, 06:58 UTC	9%
24 Oct, 04:03 UTC	9%
24 Oct, 03:51 UTC	9%
24 Oct, 01:48 UTC	9%
24 Oct, 01:25 UTC	9%
24 Oct, 00:52 UTC	9%
24 Oct, 00:27 UTC	9%
23 Oct, 23:57 UTC	9%
23 Oct, 22:49 UTC	9%
23 Oct, 22:28 UTC	9%
23 Oct, 21:41 UTC	9%
23 Oct, 19:19 UTC	9%
23 Oct, 18:14 UTC	9%
23 Oct, 17:53 UTC	9%

Stories

Democrats Gain Edge in Midterms as Cook Report Shifts Races and Polls Show Lead Hot: $1.8M traded on its market in 24 hours

The Cook Political Report shifts a dozen House races toward Democrats, while new polling shows the party leading Republicans by ten points ahead of Tuesday's election.

politics 43 sources 42m ago Priced in

Kalshi Republican Party 10% +5

Gen Z Voters Prioritize Affordability Over Social Issues in Midterms

Young voters cite housing costs and economic pressures as their primary concerns for the upcoming midterms, overshadowing traditional social issues.

politics 12 sources 2h ago

Voters Make Health Care Costs Key Issue in Final Midterms Push

With costs surging, voters embrace radical solutions as Democrats and Republicans deploy dueling messages on affordability.

politics 2 sources 2h ago

Kalshi Health care 1% −1