Republicans sweep
Implied probability 9%−1
24-hour volume$1.1M
Total volume$8.7M
Liquidity$8.7M
Resolves1 Feb 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 9% |
| 23 Sept, 10:42 UTC | 9% |
| 23 Sept, 09:28 UTC | 9% |
| 23 Sept, 07:59 UTC | 9% |
| 23 Sept, 07:27 UTC | 8% |
| 22 Sept, 06:59 UTC | 9% |
Your call. How does this end?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Republicans control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterm elections. It resolves to No if they fail to hold at least one of those chambers. Readers often mistake current polling data for the final election results, but only the actual seat counts matter.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 9%
- No 91%