Trump Names Stephen Miller as White House Chief of Staff, Replacing Susie Wiles Hot: Odds moved 54 points in 24 hours

The story so far

16 publishers have covered this in 19 articles since 5 Nov 2026. The Hill published first, on 5 November at 14:55 UTC; Fox News Politics followed 27h 10m later. The most recent article, from Bloomberg.com, appeared on 6 November at 19:28 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: The Hill (major outlet), The New York Times (major outlet), Axios (major outlet), politico.com (major outlet), Bloomberg.com (major outlet), News Feed (major outlet), CBS News Politics (major outlet), The Guardian (major outlet), Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), NPR Politics (major outlet), Fox News Politics, Deadline and 4 more, all listed under Sources below.

3 prediction markets price this story:

• Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31? — the market puts it at 100%, with $26k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Susie Wiles stops being White House Chief of Staff at any point before December 31, 2026, or if an announcement of her resignation or removal occurs before that date. The resolution relies on official Trump administration information or a consensus of credible reporting. Readers often mistake the deadline for the effective date of the departure rather than the date of the announcement.
• No other person — the market puts it at 50%, closing 20 Jan 2029. The market resolves to 'Yes' if the next Secretary of State appointed by the Trump Administration before January 20, 2029, is not a current or former government official. The outcome depends on who holds the position as of that deadline. Readers often mistakenly believe the resolution hinges on the candidate's political affiliation rather than their prior role in government.
• Susie Wiles — the market puts it at 60%, with $228 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 21 Jan 2029. The outcome is Yes if Susie Wiles receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump during his second term before January 21, 2029. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake this for a prediction about her job status rather than a specific legal action taken by the president.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.