No other person
Implied probability 60%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$3k
Liquidity$3k
Resolves20 Jan 2029
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 60% |
| 9 Oct, 01:34 UTC | 60% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to 'Yes' if the next Secretary of State appointed by the Trump Administration before January 20, 2029, is not a current or former government official. The outcome depends on who holds the position as of that deadline. Readers often mistakenly believe the resolution hinges on the candidate's political affiliation rather than their prior role in government.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 60%
- No 40%