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How much the press wrote about Anthropic each day, and what its busiest market did over the same days.
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 2% |
| 28 Oct, 12:36 UTC | 3% |
| 28 Oct, 12:29 UTC | 3% |
| 28 Oct, 10:48 UTC | 3% |
| 28 Oct, 09:48 UTC | 3% |
| 28 Oct, 09:10 UTC | 3% |
| 28 Oct, 08:56 UTC | 3% |
| 28 Oct, 08:29 UTC | 3% |
| 28 Oct, 07:56 UTC | 3% |
| 28 Oct, 07:29 UTC | 3% |
| 28 Oct, 06:36 UTC | 3% |
| 28 Oct, 06:11 UTC | 3% |
| 28 Oct, 05:51 UTC | 3% |
| 28 Oct, 05:03 UTC | 3% |
| 28 Oct, 04:56 UTC | 3% |
| 28 Oct, 04:10 UTC | 3% |
| 28 Oct, 03:36 UTC | 4% |
| 28 Oct, 03:22 UTC | 4% |
| 28 Oct, 02:58 UTC | 4% |
| 28 Oct, 02:09 UTC | 4% |
| 28 Oct, 01:42 UTC | 4% |
| 28 Oct, 01:07 UTC | 4% |
| 28 Oct, 00:53 UTC | 4% |
| 28 Oct, 00:28 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Oct, 23:38 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Oct, 23:19 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Oct, 22:58 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Oct, 22:23 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Oct, 21:56 UTC | 3% |
| 27 Oct, 21:26 UTC | 3% |
| 27 Oct, 20:53 UTC | 3% |
| 27 Oct, 20:24 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Oct, 19:55 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Oct, 18:56 UTC | 6% |
| 27 Oct, 18:19 UTC | 7% |
| 27 Oct, 17:57 UTC | 7% |
| 27 Oct, 17:28 UTC | 7% |
| 27 Oct, 16:45 UTC | 7% |
| 27 Oct, 16:22 UTC | 7% |
| 27 Oct, 15:56 UTC | 8% |
| 27 Oct, 15:20 UTC | 10% |
| 27 Oct, 14:36 UTC | 9% |
| 27 Oct, 13:26 UTC | 9% |
| 27 Oct, 12:50 UTC | 9% |
| 27 Oct, 12:15 UTC | 10% |
| 27 Oct, 11:51 UTC | 9% |
| 27 Oct, 11:22 UTC | 9% |
| 27 Oct, 10:12 UTC | 11% |
| 27 Oct, 09:51 UTC | 9% |
| 27 Oct, 09:22 UTC | 9% |
| 27 Oct, 08:54 UTC | 9% |
| 27 Oct, 08:27 UTC | 9% |
| 27 Oct, 07:57 UTC | 9% |
| 27 Oct, 06:42 UTC | 9% |
| 27 Oct, 05:54 UTC | 9% |
| 27 Oct, 05:27 UTC | 9% |
| 27 Oct, 04:47 UTC | 9% |
| 27 Oct, 03:52 UTC | 9% |
| 27 Oct, 03:26 UTC | 8% |
| 27 Oct, 02:58 UTC | 9% |
| 27 Oct, 02:09 UTC | 9% |
| 27 Oct, 01:53 UTC | 9% |
| 27 Oct, 01:25 UTC | 9% |
| 27 Oct, 00:45 UTC | 10% |
| 27 Oct, 00:24 UTC | 10% |
| 26 Oct, 23:52 UTC | 10% |
| 26 Oct, 23:24 UTC | 10% |
| 26 Oct, 22:56 UTC | 10% |
| 26 Oct, 22:08 UTC | 9% |
| 26 Oct, 21:53 UTC | 9% |
| 26 Oct, 20:40 UTC | 9% |
| 26 Oct, 20:12 UTC | 9% |
| 26 Oct, 19:58 UTC | 9% |
| 26 Oct, 19:15 UTC | 8% |
| 26 Oct, 18:57 UTC | 8% |
| 26 Oct, 18:19 UTC | 8% |
| 26 Oct, 17:36 UTC | 8% |
| 26 Oct, 17:21 UTC | 8% |
| 26 Oct, 16:59 UTC | 9% |
| 26 Oct, 16:24 UTC | 8% |
| 26 Oct, 15:39 UTC | 8% |
| 26 Oct, 15:17 UTC | 9% |
| 26 Oct, 14:55 UTC | 10% |
| 26 Oct, 14:23 UTC | 10% |
| 26 Oct, 13:47 UTC | 10% |
| 26 Oct, 13:23 UTC | 9% |
| 26 Oct, 12:47 UTC | 10% |
| 26 Oct, 12:25 UTC | 10% |
| 26 Oct, 11:56 UTC | 10% |
| 26 Oct, 11:24 UTC | 10% |
| 26 Oct, 10:07 UTC | 10% |
| 26 Oct, 09:53 UTC | 10% |
| 26 Oct, 09:24 UTC | 10% |
| 26 Oct, 08:58 UTC | 9% |
| 26 Oct, 08:23 UTC | 9% |
| 26 Oct, 07:44 UTC | 9% |
| 26 Oct, 07:24 UTC | 9% |
| 26 Oct, 06:58 UTC | 11% |
| 26 Oct, 06:27 UTC | 12% |
| 26 Oct, 05:53 UTC | 13% |
| 26 Oct, 05:19 UTC | 13% |
| 26 Oct, 04:57 UTC | 13% |
| 26 Oct, 04:29 UTC | 13% |
| 26 Oct, 03:50 UTC | 13% |
| 26 Oct, 03:27 UTC | 13% |
| 26 Oct, 02:27 UTC | 13% |
| 26 Oct, 01:58 UTC | 13% |
| 26 Oct, 01:27 UTC | 13% |
| 26 Oct, 00:54 UTC | 13% |
| 25 Oct, 23:35 UTC | 14% |
| 25 Oct, 23:25 UTC | 13% |
| 25 Oct, 22:54 UTC | 13% |
| 25 Oct, 22:13 UTC | 14% |
| 25 Oct, 21:57 UTC | 12% |
| 25 Oct, 21:29 UTC | 11% |
| 25 Oct, 20:56 UTC | 11% |
| 25 Oct, 20:26 UTC | 9% |
| 25 Oct, 19:46 UTC | 8% |
| 25 Oct, 19:25 UTC | 8% |
| 25 Oct, 18:57 UTC | 7% |
| 25 Oct, 18:25 UTC | 7% |
| 25 Oct, 17:56 UTC | 7% |
| 25 Oct, 17:17 UTC | 5% |
| 25 Oct, 16:56 UTC | 3% |
| 25 Oct, 16:28 UTC | 4% |
| 25 Oct, 15:46 UTC | 8% |
| 25 Oct, 15:03 UTC | 9% |
| 25 Oct, 13:03 UTC | 8% |
| 25 Oct, 11:42 UTC | 8% |
| 25 Oct, 11:28 UTC | 8% |
| 25 Oct, 09:58 UTC | 8% |
| 25 Oct, 09:07 UTC | 7% |
| 25 Oct, 08:53 UTC | 8% |
| 25 Oct, 08:07 UTC | 7% |
| 25 Oct, 07:11 UTC | 8% |
| 25 Oct, 02:21 UTC | 8% |
| 24 Oct, 20:31 UTC | 8% |
| 24 Oct, 20:23 UTC | 8% |
| 24 Oct, 18:15 UTC | 8% |
| 24 Oct, 17:36 UTC | 9% |
| 24 Oct, 17:01 UTC | 9% |
| 24 Oct, 16:15 UTC | 8% |
| 24 Oct, 15:41 UTC | 8% |
| 24 Oct, 15:27 UTC | 8% |
| 24 Oct, 14:12 UTC | 8% |
| 24 Oct, 13:29 UTC | 9% |
| 24 Oct, 12:18 UTC | 9% |
| 24 Oct, 09:22 UTC | 7% |
| 24 Oct, 08:36 UTC | 7% |
| 24 Oct, 08:09 UTC | 7% |
| 24 Oct, 07:27 UTC | 8% |
| 24 Oct, 06:58 UTC | 9% |
| 24 Oct, 03:30 UTC | 10% |
| 23 Oct, 17:24 UTC | 11% |
| 23 Oct, 15:27 UTC | 10% |
| 23 Oct, 14:16 UTC | 11% |
| 23 Oct, 13:19 UTC | 10% |
| 23 Oct, 12:57 UTC | 11% |
| 23 Oct, 11:48 UTC | 12% |
| 23 Oct, 11:20 UTC | 13% |
| 23 Oct, 10:46 UTC | 13% |
| 23 Oct, 10:24 UTC | 13% |
| 23 Oct, 09:21 UTC | 14% |
| 23 Oct, 06:53 UTC | 14% |
| 23 Oct, 06:25 UTC | 15% |
| 23 Oct, 05:53 UTC | 14% |
| 23 Oct, 05:25 UTC | 13% |
| 23 Oct, 04:57 UTC | 13% |
| 23 Oct, 04:02 UTC | 14% |
| 23 Oct, 03:41 UTC | 14% |
| 23 Oct, 02:33 UTC | 11% |
| 22 Oct, 18:49 UTC | 11% |
| 22 Oct, 15:28 UTC | 11% |
| 22 Oct, 14:39 UTC | 13% |
| 22 Oct, 14:17 UTC | 13% |
| 22 Oct, 13:04 UTC | 15% |
| 22 Oct, 12:43 UTC | 14% |
| 22 Oct, 12:21 UTC | 15% |
| 22 Oct, 10:53 UTC | 18% |
| 22 Oct, 10:09 UTC | 17% |
| 22 Oct, 09:11 UTC | 18% |
| 22 Oct, 08:36 UTC | 18% |
| 22 Oct, 06:15 UTC | 18% |
| 22 Oct, 04:34 UTC | 19% |
| 22 Oct, 04:27 UTC | 19% |
| 22 Oct, 03:38 UTC | 19% |
| 22 Oct, 03:23 UTC | 19% |
| 22 Oct, 02:54 UTC | 19% |
| 22 Oct, 02:26 UTC | 19% |
| 22 Oct, 01:44 UTC | 19% |
| 22 Oct, 01:29 UTC | 18% |
| 21 Oct, 23:14 UTC | 18% |
| 21 Oct, 21:12 UTC | 18% |
| 21 Oct, 20:57 UTC | 18% |
| 21 Oct, 20:20 UTC | 18% |
| 21 Oct, 19:54 UTC | 18% |
| 21 Oct, 19:17 UTC | 16% |
| 21 Oct, 18:34 UTC | 18% |
| 21 Oct, 18:12 UTC | 17% |
| 21 Oct, 16:29 UTC | 16% |
| 21 Oct, 15:46 UTC | 17% |
| 21 Oct, 15:17 UTC | 18% |
| 21 Oct, 14:55 UTC | 16% |
| 21 Oct, 14:05 UTC | 17% |
Apple integrates an AI assistant into Pages, Keynote, and Numbers, while research indicates professionals defer to AI recommendations in decision-making.
The AI firm selects JPMorgan to lead its potentially record-setting initial public offering while warning investors of catastrophic risks in its prospectus.
Polymarket Anthropic IPO before 2027? 96% +2The AI firm cites methane dependency, regulatory scrutiny and chip shortages as key hurdles ahead of its public listing.
Kalshi Anthropic 82% +1SK Hynix reports a seven-fold profit surge while Nvidia-backed Zankore launches a massive loan and Meta plans a $95bn offering to fund AI infrastructure.
Meta raises up to $95 billion for AI development while researchers warn that emerging agents may not lower consumer prices despite industry promises.
Polymarket Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? 0%Authentic Brands Group alleges the AI firm used 274 songs to train Claude models, seeking $41 million in damages.
OpenAI announced its models disproved the Exponential Time Hypothesis, while Anthropic claimed a similar result in cryptography.
Anthropic files for its historic first IPO as investors weigh AI spending risks, while markets react to US election costs and Latin American political uncertainty.
OpenAI released GPT-6.1 Terra, a mid-tier model with API prices 50% lower than previous versions, aimed at computer-use and agent work.
Polymarket Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? 6% Required. We use your browser's storage to remember this choice, your light or dark
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