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Anthropic

Implied probability 76%
24-hour volume$212
Total volume$326k
Liquidity$326k
Resolves1 Jan 2027

Why it moved: +8 points at 20:53 UTC, after TechCrunch: Anthropic to pay Akamai $11.6 billion over seven years in cloud deal — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Anthropic
0%50%100%76%24 Sept, 13:58 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now76%
25 Sept, 21:55 UTC79%
25 Sept, 20:53 UTC79%
25 Sept, 18:22 UTC71%
25 Sept, 14:54 UTC78%
24 Sept, 13:58 UTC79%

Your call. How does this end?

Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

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What counts

Anthropic must publicly confirm an initial public offering before January 1, 2027 for the outcome to be Yes. The resolution depends solely on Anthropic's confirmation, not on stock price movements or other company news.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 76%
  • No 24%

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