Anthropic
Implied probability 71%−1
24-hour volume$258
Total volume$259k
Liquidity$259k
Resolves31 Dec 2026
Why it moved: −8 points at 23:00 UTC, after theinformation.com: Anthropic Seeks Palantir-Style Voting Control for Seven Co-Founders Ahead of IPO — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 71% |
| 25 Sept, 02:46 UTC | 71% |
| 25 Sept, 02:13 UTC | 64% |
| 24 Sept, 23:00 UTC | 65% |
| 24 Sept, 16:47 UTC | 73% |
| 24 Sept, 16:26 UTC | 72% |
| 24 Sept, 13:03 UTC | 74% |
| 24 Sept, 03:26 UTC | 73% |
| 24 Sept, 00:09 UTC | 72% |
| 23 Sept, 19:54 UTC | 66% |
| 23 Sept, 15:54 UTC | 71% |
| 23 Sept, 14:15 UTC | 70% |
| 22 Sept, 13:12 UTC | 64% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Anthropic’s model holds the top spot on LiveBench.ai's
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 71%
- No 29%