Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 66% |
| 7 Oct, 11:34 UTC | 66% |
| 7 Oct, 08:40 UTC | 68% |
| 7 Oct, 07:20 UTC | 66% |
| 7 Oct, 00:35 UTC | 67% |
| 6 Oct, 20:30 UTC | 66% |
| 6 Oct, 12:34 UTC | 64% |
| 6 Oct, 11:13 UTC | 65% |
| 6 Oct, 10:03 UTC | 64% |
| 6 Oct, 09:55 UTC | 63% |
| 5 Oct, 23:16 UTC | 62% |
| 5 Oct, 21:54 UTC | 61% |
| 5 Oct, 19:21 UTC | 60% |
| 5 Oct, 00:05 UTC | 51% |
| 4 Oct, 17:20 UTC | 52% |
| 4 Oct, 16:48 UTC | 51% |
| 4 Oct, 16:25 UTC | 52% |
| 4 Oct, 12:13 UTC | 56% |
| 4 Oct, 11:49 UTC | 55% |
| 4 Oct, 11:04 UTC | 54% |
| 4 Oct, 10:57 UTC | 51% |
| 4 Oct, 07:57 UTC | 52% |
| 4 Oct, 06:27 UTC | 56% |
| 4 Oct, 05:17 UTC | 55% |
| 4 Oct, 03:47 UTC | 54% |
| 4 Oct, 03:16 UTC | 50% |
| 4 Oct, 01:20 UTC | 56% |
| 4 Oct, 00:01 UTC | 54% |
| 3 Oct, 23:16 UTC | 51% |
| 3 Oct, 22:56 UTC | 49% |
| 3 Oct, 22:10 UTC | 46% |
| 3 Oct, 21:57 UTC | 47% |
| 3 Oct, 21:10 UTC | 43% |
| 3 Oct, 20:56 UTC | 47% |
| 3 Oct, 16:00 UTC | 54% |
| 3 Oct, 14:34 UTC | 55% |
| 3 Oct, 14:13 UTC | 54% |
| 3 Oct, 13:30 UTC | 55% |
| 3 Oct, 13:23 UTC | 54% |
| 3 Oct, 12:43 UTC | 55% |
| 3 Oct, 12:15 UTC | 48% |
| 2 Oct, 12:58 UTC | 59% |
| 2 Oct, 12:08 UTC | 60% |
| 2 Oct, 11:15 UTC | 59% |
| 2 Oct, 09:30 UTC | 60% |
| 2 Oct, 09:23 UTC | 59% |
| 2 Oct, 08:09 UTC | 59% |
| 2 Oct, 07:42 UTC | 58% |
| 2 Oct, 06:37 UTC | 57% |
| 2 Oct, 05:12 UTC | 54% |
| 2 Oct, 01:20 UTC | 54% |
| 2 Oct, 00:43 UTC | 55% |
| 2 Oct, 00:23 UTC | 56% |
| 1 Oct, 18:43 UTC | 61% |
| 1 Oct, 17:38 UTC | 65% |
| 1 Oct, 17:14 UTC | 65% |
| 1 Oct, 13:21 UTC | 61% |
| 1 Oct, 12:38 UTC | 60% |
| 1 Oct, 12:24 UTC | 60% |
| 1 Oct, 11:45 UTC | 57% |
| 1 Oct, 11:26 UTC | 56% |
| 1 Oct, 09:23 UTC | 54% |
| 1 Oct, 08:55 UTC | 51% |
| 1 Oct, 08:19 UTC | 42% |
| 1 Oct, 07:48 UTC | 50% |
| 1 Oct, 07:09 UTC | 41% |
| 1 Oct, 06:29 UTC | 41% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if OpenAI or an official representative announces that it has solved one of the five specified Millennium Prize Problems by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. The announcement must explicitly state that the problem is solved and credit OpenAI as a solver; partial results or announcements crediting only external researchers do not count.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 66%
- No 34%
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