Will Anthropic not IPO by November 30, 2026?
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 13% |
| 28 Oct, 11:45 UTC | 13% |
| 27 Oct, 11:45 UTC | 11% |
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What counts
The market resolves to "Yes" if Anthropic does not launch its first public sale of shares on a recognized stock exchange by November 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM Eastern Time. It resolves to "No" if the IPO occurs before that deadline. Readers often mistake the linked news story about hiring an investment bank for the actual listing event, which only counts when shares begin trading on an exchange.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 13%
- No 87%
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