Before Jan 1, 2027
Implied probability 4%+2
24-hour volume$364
Total volume$22k
Liquidity$22k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 4% |
| 11 Nov, 23:58 UTC | 4% |
| 10 Nov, 23:39 UTC | 2% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if martial law is imposed in the United States before January 1, 2027. It resolves to No if that condition does not occur by the deadline. Readers often mistake general immigration enforcement or executive orders for martial law.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 4%
- No 96%