United Nations
Implied probability 12%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$9k
Liquidity$9k
Resolves20 Jan 2029
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 12% |
| 22 Sept, 13:07 UTC | 12% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The outcome is Yes if the United States fully withdraws from the United Nations before January 20, 2029. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the date of the linked news story for the deadline.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 12%
- No 88%