Adam Hamilton
Implied probability 36%+4
24-hour volume$85k
Total volume$1.6M
Liquidity$1.6M
Resolves3 Nov 2027
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if a Democrat takes office as a U.S. Senator from Kansas starting in 2027. It resolves to No if any other candidate wins that seat or if the position remains vacant. Readers often mistake the election date for the resolution deadline, but the outcome depends on who is actually sworn in.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 36%
- No 64%