Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Implied probability 67%+1
24-hour volume$440k
Total volume$5.9M
Liquidity$1.0M
Resolves4 Nov 2026
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What counts
The market resolves based on which party holds a majority of voting seats in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 midterm elections. If no party achieves a majority, control goes to the party holding half the seats and the Vice Presidency, or the party of the first President Pro Tempore if ambiguity persists.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 67%
- No 34%