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2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Implied probability 66%
24-hour volume$184k
Total volume$8.7M
Liquidity$3.0M
Resolves4 Nov 2026

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if Democrats control both the Senate and the House in the 120th Congress, which begins after the 2026 midterm election. It resolves to No if either chamber is controlled by Republicans or another party.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 66%
  • No 35%

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