Gina Hinojosa and James Talarico win
Why it moved: +9 points at 22:43 UTC, after CBS News Politics: Latino Dems urge investment in Hinojosa campaign as Texas governor's race tightens — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 32% |
| 3 Oct, 22:43 UTC | 32% |
| 2 Oct, 22:24 UTC | 23% |
Your call. How does this end?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if both the Texas Governor and Texas Senate races are won by Democratic candidates. It resolves to No if either candidate loses or if a non-Democrat wins either seat. Readers often mistake the linked story about party pressure for an actual election result.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 32%
- No 68%