Republican Party
Implied probability 9%
24-hour volume$322k
Total volume$24.6M
Liquidity$24.6M
Resolves1 Feb 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 9% |
| 28 Sept, 13:20 UTC | 9% |
| 28 Sept, 11:17 UTC | 9% |
| 28 Sept, 03:26 UTC | 9% |
| 28 Sept, 02:08 UTC | 8% |
| 27 Sept, 17:31 UTC | 9% |
| 27 Sept, 09:02 UTC | 8% |
| 27 Sept, 07:48 UTC | 8% |
| 27 Sept, 05:23 UTC | 8% |
| 27 Sept, 01:41 UTC | 8% |
| 26 Sept, 15:15 UTC | 8% |
| 26 Sept, 13:50 UTC | 8% |
| 26 Sept, 06:00 UTC | 8% |
| 26 Sept, 04:36 UTC | 8% |
| 26 Sept, 00:08 UTC | 8% |
| 25 Sept, 22:40 UTC | 8% |
| 25 Sept, 20:11 UTC | 8% |
| 25 Sept, 17:52 UTC | 8% |
| 25 Sept, 16:37 UTC | 8% |
| 25 Sept, 15:27 UTC | 8% |
| 25 Sept, 14:16 UTC | 8% |
| 25 Sept, 11:48 UTC | 9% |
| 25 Sept, 09:17 UTC | 9% |
| 25 Sept, 06:54 UTC | 9% |
| 25 Sept, 05:43 UTC | 9% |
| 25 Sept, 04:28 UTC | 9% |
| 25 Sept, 03:17 UTC | 9% |
| 24 Sept, 19:56 UTC | 9% |
| 24 Sept, 18:41 UTC | 9% |
| 24 Sept, 17:27 UTC | 8% |
| 24 Sept, 12:42 UTC | 9% |
| 24 Sept, 11:26 UTC | 9% |
| 24 Sept, 05:28 UTC | 9% |
| 24 Sept, 04:17 UTC | 8% |
| 24 Sept, 03:00 UTC | 8% |
| 24 Sept, 01:51 UTC | 9% |
| 24 Sept, 00:41 UTC | 8% |
| 23 Sept, 23:27 UTC | 8% |
| 23 Sept, 22:12 UTC | 9% |
| 23 Sept, 20:55 UTC | 8% |
| 23 Sept, 19:39 UTC | 9% |
| 23 Sept, 18:25 UTC | 9% |
| 23 Sept, 17:11 UTC | 9% |
| 23 Sept, 15:54 UTC | 9% |
| 23 Sept, 14:40 UTC | 9% |
| 23 Sept, 13:28 UTC | 9% |
| 23 Sept, 12:14 UTC | 9% |
| 23 Sept, 10:42 UTC | 9% |
| 23 Sept, 07:59 UTC | 9% |
| 23 Sept, 07:27 UTC | 9% |
| 22 Sept, 06:59 UTC | 10% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Republicans win control of the House in 2026. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the linked news story about current political clashes for the actual election result.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 9%
- No 92%