Bulgarians Vote for President Amid Economic Hardship and Ukraine War
Voters in Bulgaria head to the polls to elect their next president while dealing with drone attacks on Black Sea shipping and growing economic hardships.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 13% |
| 25 Oct, 08:39 UTC | 13% |
| 25 Oct, 08:00 UTC | 13% |
| 25 Oct, 07:53 UTC | 13% |
| 24 Oct, 18:29 UTC | 13% |
| 24 Oct, 17:54 UTC | 13% |
| 24 Oct, 15:34 UTC | 13% |
| 24 Oct, 15:08 UTC | 13% |
| 24 Oct, 14:54 UTC | 13% |
| 24 Oct, 14:20 UTC | 13% |
| 24 Oct, 13:21 UTC | 13% |
| 24 Oct, 12:25 UTC | 13% |
| 24 Oct, 10:37 UTC | 13% |
| 24 Oct, 09:36 UTC | 12% |
| 24 Oct, 03:30 UTC | 13% |
| 24 Oct, 00:52 UTC | 12% |
| 23 Oct, 23:36 UTC | 13% |
| 23 Oct, 21:41 UTC | 14% |
| 23 Oct, 20:28 UTC | 14% |
| 23 Oct, 19:04 UTC | 14% |
| 23 Oct, 18:48 UTC | 14% |
| 23 Oct, 18:14 UTC | 14% |
| 23 Oct, 17:24 UTC | 14% |
| 23 Oct, 08:39 UTC | 13% |
| 23 Oct, 07:54 UTC | 13% |
| 23 Oct, 05:53 UTC | 13% |
| 22 Oct, 21:09 UTC | 12% |
| 22 Oct, 20:55 UTC | 13% |
| 22 Oct, 20:20 UTC | 13% |
| 22 Oct, 19:58 UTC | 12% |
| 22 Oct, 19:23 UTC | 12% |
| 22 Oct, 18:49 UTC | 12% |
| 22 Oct, 18:13 UTC | 13% |
| 22 Oct, 17:31 UTC | 13% |
| 22 Oct, 16:47 UTC | 13% |
| 22 Oct, 14:24 UTC | 11% |
| 22 Oct, 13:42 UTC | 11% |
| 21 Oct, 14:13 UTC | 10% |
| 21 Oct, 13:04 UTC | 10% |
| 21 Oct, 12:07 UTC | 11% |
| 21 Oct, 08:03 UTC | 12% |
| 21 Oct, 03:29 UTC | 12% |
| 20 Oct, 23:57 UTC | 12% |
| 20 Oct, 17:39 UTC | 12% |
| 20 Oct, 14:40 UTC | 12% |
| 18 Oct, 21:41 UTC | 13% |
| 18 Oct, 21:07 UTC | 13% |
| 18 Oct, 14:34 UTC | 13% |
| 18 Oct, 13:30 UTC | 13% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 25 Oct 2026. ABC News published first, on 25 October at 05:52 UTC; Deutsche Welle followed 1h 27m later. The most recent article, from Deutsche Welle, appeared on 25 October at 07:19 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: ABC News (major outlet), Deutsche Welle.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? — the market puts it at 13%, with $42k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 26 Oct 2026. The Yes outcome occurs if Andrey Gyurov wins the next Bulgarian presidential election, including any second round. The No outcome applies if he loses or does not win. Readers often mistake the deadline for knowing the result; the market only waits until December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET before resolving to Other if the winner is still unknown.
- Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%? — the market puts it at 1%, with $13k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 25 Oct 2026. For the 'Yes' outcome, Andrey Gyurov must finish first in the first round with a margin of victory between 20% and 30% over the second-place candidate. The market resolves based on the official vote count published by the Central Election Commission after it is made final.
- Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election? — the market puts it at 99%, with $5k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 25 Oct 2026. The Yes outcome occurs if Iliana Iotova receives more valid votes than any other candidate in the first round of Bulgaria's October 25, 2026 presidential election. The No outcome applies if she does not receive the most votes, with ties broken by alphabetical order of full names.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Polymarket Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? 13%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Polymarket Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%? 1%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Polymarket Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election? 99%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Email me when the odds move
In this story
- Bulgaria