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Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?

Implied probability 13%
24-hour volume$42k
Total volume$493k
Liquidity$296k
Resolves26 Oct 2026
How the odds moved · Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
0%50%100%13%18 Oct, 13:30 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now13%
25 Oct, 08:39 UTC13%
25 Oct, 08:00 UTC13%
25 Oct, 07:53 UTC13%
24 Oct, 18:29 UTC13%
24 Oct, 17:54 UTC13%
24 Oct, 15:34 UTC13%
24 Oct, 15:08 UTC13%
24 Oct, 14:54 UTC13%
24 Oct, 14:20 UTC13%
24 Oct, 13:21 UTC13%
24 Oct, 12:25 UTC13%
24 Oct, 10:37 UTC13%
24 Oct, 09:36 UTC12%
24 Oct, 03:30 UTC13%
24 Oct, 00:52 UTC12%
23 Oct, 23:36 UTC13%
23 Oct, 21:41 UTC14%
23 Oct, 20:28 UTC14%
23 Oct, 19:04 UTC14%
23 Oct, 18:48 UTC14%
23 Oct, 18:14 UTC14%
23 Oct, 17:24 UTC14%
23 Oct, 08:39 UTC13%
23 Oct, 07:54 UTC13%
23 Oct, 05:53 UTC13%
22 Oct, 21:09 UTC12%
22 Oct, 20:55 UTC13%
22 Oct, 20:20 UTC13%
22 Oct, 19:58 UTC12%
22 Oct, 19:23 UTC12%
22 Oct, 18:49 UTC12%
22 Oct, 18:13 UTC13%
22 Oct, 17:31 UTC13%
22 Oct, 16:47 UTC13%
22 Oct, 14:24 UTC11%
22 Oct, 13:42 UTC11%
21 Oct, 14:13 UTC10%
21 Oct, 13:04 UTC10%
21 Oct, 12:07 UTC11%
21 Oct, 08:03 UTC12%
21 Oct, 03:29 UTC12%
20 Oct, 23:57 UTC12%
20 Oct, 17:39 UTC12%
20 Oct, 14:40 UTC12%
18 Oct, 21:41 UTC13%
18 Oct, 21:07 UTC13%
18 Oct, 14:34 UTC13%
18 Oct, 13:30 UTC13%

Your call. How does this end?

Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

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What counts

The Yes outcome occurs if Andrey Gyurov wins the next Bulgarian presidential election, including any second round. The No outcome applies if he loses or does not win. Readers often mistake the deadline for knowing the result; the market only waits until December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET before resolving to Other if the winner is still unknown.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 13%
  • No 88%

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