Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?
Implied probability 99%
24-hour volume$5k
Total volume$27k
Liquidity$42k
Resolves25 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 25 Oct, 09:58 UTC | 99% |
| 25 Oct, 08:00 UTC | 99% |
| 25 Oct, 07:53 UTC | 99% |
| 25 Oct, 06:41 UTC | 99% |
| 25 Oct, 06:12 UTC | 99% |
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Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
The Yes outcome occurs if Iliana Iotova receives more valid votes than any other candidate in the first round of Bulgaria's October 25, 2026 presidential election. The No outcome applies if she does not receive the most votes, with ties broken by alphabetical order of full names.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 2%
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