Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?
Implied probability 1%
24-hour volume$14k
Total volume$331k
Liquidity$178k
Resolves25 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 24 Oct, 23:12 UTC | 1% |
| 24 Oct, 22:51 UTC | 1% |
| 24 Oct, 22:26 UTC | 1% |
| 24 Oct, 21:37 UTC | 1% |
| 24 Oct, 21:05 UTC | 1% |
| 24 Oct, 20:51 UTC | 1% |
| 24 Oct, 20:23 UTC | 1% |
| 24 Oct, 19:58 UTC | 1% |
| 24 Oct, 18:15 UTC | 1% |
| 24 Oct, 17:08 UTC | 1% |
| 24 Oct, 16:22 UTC | 1% |
| 24 Oct, 15:55 UTC | 1% |
| 24 Oct, 15:27 UTC | 1% |
| 24 Oct, 14:54 UTC | 1% |
| 24 Oct, 13:00 UTC | 1% |
| 24 Oct, 12:18 UTC | 1% |
| 24 Oct, 08:36 UTC | 1% |
| 24 Oct, 06:58 UTC | 1% |
| 24 Oct, 03:30 UTC | 1% |
| 23 Oct, 23:03 UTC | 1% |
| 23 Oct, 22:56 UTC | 1% |
| 23 Oct, 21:41 UTC | 1% |
| 23 Oct, 21:27 UTC | 1% |
| 23 Oct, 20:49 UTC | 1% |
| 23 Oct, 20:05 UTC | 1% |
| 23 Oct, 19:57 UTC | 1% |
| 23 Oct, 18:40 UTC | 1% |
| 23 Oct, 18:22 UTC | 1% |
| 23 Oct, 17:53 UTC | 1% |
| 23 Oct, 17:04 UTC | 2% |
| 23 Oct, 15:27 UTC | 2% |
| 23 Oct, 14:16 UTC | 2% |
| 23 Oct, 13:52 UTC | 2% |
| 23 Oct, 13:19 UTC | 2% |
| 23 Oct, 11:20 UTC | 2% |
| 23 Oct, 10:46 UTC | 2% |
| 23 Oct, 08:46 UTC | 2% |
| 23 Oct, 08:14 UTC | 2% |
| 23 Oct, 07:54 UTC | 2% |
| 23 Oct, 04:10 UTC | 2% |
| 23 Oct, 00:02 UTC | 2% |
| 22 Oct, 23:27 UTC | 2% |
| 22 Oct, 21:37 UTC | 2% |
| 22 Oct, 21:23 UTC | 2% |
| 22 Oct, 20:55 UTC | 2% |
| 22 Oct, 20:20 UTC | 2% |
| 22 Oct, 19:58 UTC | 2% |
| 22 Oct, 18:41 UTC | 2% |
| 22 Oct, 18:20 UTC | 2% |
| 22 Oct, 08:36 UTC | 2% |
| 22 Oct, 07:54 UTC | 2% |
| 22 Oct, 00:38 UTC | 3% |
| 22 Oct, 00:24 UTC | 2% |
| 21 Oct, 23:49 UTC | 3% |
| 21 Oct, 23:28 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 22:53 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 22:24 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Oct, 21:55 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Oct, 21:12 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Oct, 20:49 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Oct, 20:20 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Oct, 19:54 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 19:10 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 18:41 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 18:12 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 17:57 UTC | 4% |
| 21 Oct, 16:08 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 15:53 UTC | 4% |
| 21 Oct, 15:25 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 14:05 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Oct, 13:33 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Oct, 13:19 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Oct, 12:56 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 12:21 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Oct, 11:38 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Oct, 11:24 UTC | 4% |
| 21 Oct, 10:39 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Oct, 10:03 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Oct, 09:40 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 09:26 UTC | 4% |
| 21 Oct, 08:58 UTC | 3% |
| 21 Oct, 08:03 UTC | 3% |
| 21 Oct, 07:36 UTC | 3% |
| 21 Oct, 07:29 UTC | 4% |
| 21 Oct, 06:37 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 06:16 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 02:13 UTC | 3% |
| 21 Oct, 01:52 UTC | 4% |
| 21 Oct, 01:24 UTC | 4% |
| 21 Oct, 00:56 UTC | 4% |
| 21 Oct, 00:29 UTC | 6% |
| 20 Oct, 23:57 UTC | 7% |
| 20 Oct, 23:14 UTC | 7% |
| 20 Oct, 22:59 UTC | 7% |
| 20 Oct, 22:24 UTC | 8% |
| 20 Oct, 21:56 UTC | 6% |
| 20 Oct, 21:27 UTC | 6% |
| 20 Oct, 20:58 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 20:24 UTC | 8% |
| 20 Oct, 19:55 UTC | 6% |
| 20 Oct, 19:21 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 18:59 UTC | 4% |
| 20 Oct, 18:24 UTC | 4% |
| 20 Oct, 17:53 UTC | 11% |
| 20 Oct, 17:17 UTC | 9% |
| 20 Oct, 16:49 UTC | 10% |
| 20 Oct, 16:27 UTC | 12% |
| 20 Oct, 15:58 UTC | 11% |
| 20 Oct, 15:23 UTC | 9% |
| 20 Oct, 14:54 UTC | 6% |
| 20 Oct, 14:10 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 13:53 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 13:29 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 12:53 UTC | 6% |
| 20 Oct, 12:25 UTC | 6% |
| 20 Oct, 11:55 UTC | 6% |
| 20 Oct, 11:26 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 10:35 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 10:13 UTC | 6% |
| 20 Oct, 09:54 UTC | 3% |
| 20 Oct, 09:25 UTC | 4% |
| 20 Oct, 06:58 UTC | 4% |
| 20 Oct, 06:02 UTC | 4% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 4% |
| 19 Oct, 03:16 UTC | 4% |
| 19 Oct, 02:42 UTC | 3% |
| 19 Oct, 02:29 UTC | 4% |
| 19 Oct, 01:26 UTC | 4% |
| 19 Oct, 00:18 UTC | 4% |
| 18 Oct, 23:22 UTC | 4% |
| 18 Oct, 22:49 UTC | 4% |
| 18 Oct, 22:07 UTC | 5% |
| 18 Oct, 21:27 UTC | 5% |
| 18 Oct, 20:59 UTC | 5% |
| 18 Oct, 20:13 UTC | 4% |
| 18 Oct, 19:52 UTC | 4% |
| 18 Oct, 19:03 UTC | 4% |
| 18 Oct, 18:43 UTC | 3% |
| 18 Oct, 18:29 UTC | 3% |
| 18 Oct, 17:59 UTC | 6% |
| 18 Oct, 17:24 UTC | 6% |
| 18 Oct, 16:45 UTC | 8% |
| 18 Oct, 16:24 UTC | 6% |
| 18 Oct, 15:59 UTC | 7% |
| 18 Oct, 15:22 UTC | 8% |
| 18 Oct, 14:55 UTC | 8% |
| 18 Oct, 14:13 UTC | 7% |
| 18 Oct, 13:52 UTC | 7% |
| 18 Oct, 13:23 UTC | 8% |
| 18 Oct, 12:55 UTC | 7% |
| 18 Oct, 12:28 UTC | 6% |
| 18 Oct, 11:40 UTC | 6% |
| 18 Oct, 11:26 UTC | 6% |
| 18 Oct, 10:59 UTC | 5% |
| 18 Oct, 10:22 UTC | 6% |
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
For the 'Yes' outcome, Andrey Gyurov must finish first in the first round with a margin of victory between 20% and 30% over the second-place candidate. The market resolves based on the official vote count published by the Central Election Commission after it is made final.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%
Trade this market on Polymarket →