Roger Marshall
Implied probability 66%+1
24-hour volume$11k
Total volume$1.1M
Liquidity$1.1M
Resolves3 Nov 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 66% |
| 5 Oct, 16:47 UTC | 66% |
| 5 Oct, 15:42 UTC | 66% |
| 5 Oct, 15:14 UTC | 66% |
| 5 Oct, 14:01 UTC | 65% |
| 5 Oct, 07:49 UTC | 66% |
| 5 Oct, 05:24 UTC | 65% |
| 4 Oct, 15:58 UTC | 66% |
| 4 Oct, 13:24 UTC | 65% |
| 3 Oct, 22:43 UTC | 66% |
| 3 Oct, 21:30 UTC | 65% |
| 3 Oct, 12:43 UTC | 64% |
| 3 Oct, 11:21 UTC | 66% |
| 3 Oct, 08:48 UTC | 68% |
| 3 Oct, 03:44 UTC | 69% |
| 3 Oct, 02:33 UTC | 68% |
| 3 Oct, 01:14 UTC | 69% |
| 3 Oct, 00:03 UTC | 68% |
| 2 Oct, 22:42 UTC | 69% |
| 2 Oct, 16:23 UTC | 68% |
| 2 Oct, 15:02 UTC | 69% |
| 2 Oct, 12:30 UTC | 71% |
| 2 Oct, 11:15 UTC | 70% |
| 2 Oct, 03:35 UTC | 71% |
| 2 Oct, 02:23 UTC | 70% |
| 2 Oct, 00:03 UTC | 71% |
| 1 Oct, 15:27 UTC | 70% |
| 1 Oct, 14:21 UTC | 71% |
| 1 Oct, 12:58 UTC | 70% |
| 1 Oct, 06:55 UTC | 71% |
| 1 Oct, 04:30 UTC | 70% |
| 30 Sept, 22:21 UTC | 71% |
| 30 Sept, 16:09 UTC | 70% |
| 30 Sept, 09:44 UTC | 71% |
| 30 Sept, 07:22 UTC | 70% |
| 30 Sept, 03:34 UTC | 71% |
| 29 Sept, 23:46 UTC | 70% |
| 29 Sept, 22:30 UTC | 71% |
| 29 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 70% |
| 29 Sept, 17:16 UTC | 71% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if a Republican is sworn in as a U.S. Senator from Kansas for the term starting in 2027. It resolves to No if that specific condition does not occur. Readers often mistake the linked news story about campaign spending for the actual event required for resolution, but only the official swearing-in matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 66%
- No 34%