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US Relies on China for Rare Earth Processing After Decades of Cheaper Imports

Decades of cheaper imports have left the US dependent on China for crucial rare earth processing.

1 publisher · 1 article · first seen 23 Sept 2026 · updated 2d ago

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  • Kalshi Yes 19% +4 $10 24hends 1 Oct 2026

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi By 2030 14% +1 $3 24hends 1 Jan 2030

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How the odds moved · Yes
0%50%100%19%22 Sept, 14:30 UTCnowArs Technica: America gave up its rare earth edge. China took full advantage. · 23 Sept, 13:37 UTC

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Price data
TimeChance of yes
now19%
24 Sept, 16:54 UTC19%
23 Sept, 15:54 UTC15%
23 Sept, 14:40 UTC13%
22 Sept, 14:30 UTC26%

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Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. America gave up its rare earth edge. China took full advantage. Ars Technica ·

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