12 Oct – 18 Oct 2026 so far this week
Markets resolved1,734
Favourite won74%
On contested calls 71% 954 of 1346
Biggest stories
- Federal Agents Raid Ilhan Omar's Home in Immigration Probe
- Breaking Bad Star RJ Mitte Dies at 34
- Hackers Heat French Supermarket Fridges to 50C in Cyberattack
- Selma Blair Arrested at JFK After Allegedly Attacking Flight Attendants on Delta Flight
- Google Launches Fitbit Edge Tracker to Replace Charge 6
- Russell Brand Arrives at London Court for Start of Rape Trial
- Critics Find Marvel’s VisionQuest Emotionally Uneven but a Fitting End to WandaVision Saga
- French Police Detain 14-Year-Old Suspect in School Shooting Near Marseille
Biggest swings
Markets on our stories whose odds covered the widest range during the week.
- Shanghai Rolex Masters: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Taylor Fritz
- Rovereto: Polina Iatcenko vs Harmony Tan
- Wuhan Tennis Open: Alexandra Eala vs Han Shi
- Mallorca: Jennifer Ruggeri vs Elizara Yaneva
- Catania: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Sandro Kopp
- Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 12?
- Rovereto: Mona Barthel vs Lucia Bronzetti
- Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 12?
Close calls the market got right
- Called itChina Open: Donna Vekic vs Iga Swiatek Favourite a day out: Iga Swiatek at 91% · Result: Iga Swiatek · 12 Oct 2026
- Called itWill Sevilla FC win on 2026-10-12? Favourite a day out: No at 66% · Result: No · 12 Oct 2026
- Called itThunder vs. Hawks Favourite a day out: Hawks at 68% · Result: Hawks · 13 Oct 2026
- Called itWill Venezia FC win on 2026-10-12? Favourite a day out: No at 85% · Result: No · 12 Oct 2026
- Called itSamsun: Elena Pridankina vs Anna Blinkova Favourite a day out: Anna Blinkova at 68% · Result: Anna Blinkova · 12 Oct 2026
- Called itWill Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? Favourite a day out: No at 87% · Result: No · 12 Oct 2026On: Hamilton apologises to Ferrari after costly strategy error at Singapore GP
- Called itSamsun: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Carole Monnet Favourite a day out: Lucrezia Stefanini at 76% · Result: Lucrezia Stefanini · 12 Oct 2026
- Called itSamsun: Cagla Buyukakcay vs Linda Klimovicova Favourite a day out: Linda Klimovicova at 75% · Result: Linda Klimovicova · 12 Oct 2026
Favourites that lost
- MissedActon Favourite a day out: No at 100% · Result: Yes · 13 Oct 2026
- MissedAmerica First Favourite a day out: No at 100% · Result: Yes · 13 Oct 2026
- MissedBarack Hussein Obama Favourite a day out: No at 100% · Result: Yes · 13 Oct 2026
- MissedCheat / Cheater / Cheating Favourite a day out: No at 100% · Result: Yes · 13 Oct 2026
- MissedDrill Baby Drill Favourite a day out: No at 100% · Result: Yes · 13 Oct 2026
- MissedIran (5+ times) Favourite a day out: No at 100% · Result: Yes · 13 Oct 2026
- MissedPalestine / Palestinian Favourite a day out: No at 100% · Result: Yes · 13 Oct 2026
- MissedSanctuary Favourite a day out: No at 100% · Result: Yes · 13 Oct 2026
By category
| Category | Resolved | Favourite won | Contested calls | Won when contested |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1380 | 72% | 1214 | 69% |
| Weather | 84 | 94% | 40 | 90% |
| Crypto | 71 | 96% | 22 | 86% |
| Culture | 20 | 85% | 15 | 80% |
| Economy | 13 | 62% | 12 | 58% |
| Politics & world | 10 | 90% | 6 | too few |
| Tech & science | 6 | too few | 2 | too few |