Will Netherlands participate in Eurovision 2027?
Why it moved: −82 points at 13:57 UTC, after Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera: The Netherlands pulls out of Eurovision 2027 due to Israel ‘sensitivities’ — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 21% |
| 27 Oct, 16:22 UTC | 21% |
| 27 Oct, 15:56 UTC | 15% |
| 27 Oct, 14:43 UTC | 14% |
| 27 Oct, 13:57 UTC | 14% |
| 26 Oct, 13:57 UTC | 96% |
Your call. How does this end?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the Netherlands appears on the first official participant list announced by the European Broadcasting Union or Eurovision by May 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. It resolves to No if the country is absent from that initial announcement or if no qualifying list is published by the deadline. Readers often mistake later withdrawals for a No outcome, but only the first official announcement counts.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 21%
- No 79%
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