North Korea's Kim Jong Un Visits China via New Bridge Hot: $82k traded on its market in 24 hours

The story so far

6 publishers have covered this in 7 articles since 24 Oct 2026. Times of India published first, on 24 October at 06:47 UTC; Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera followed 20 min later. The most recent article, from The New York Times, appeared on 24 October at 09:01 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), ABC News (major outlet), The New York Times (major outlet), Times of India, Deutsche Welle, Latest articles.

3 prediction markets price this story:

• Kim Jong Un — the market puts it at 20%, with $2k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if Donald Trump and Kim Jong Un meet in person between now and January 1, 2027. The outcome is No if they do not meet by that date. Readers often mistake the linked news story about Kim Jong Un traveling to China as a meeting with Trump, but only a direct encounter between Trump and Kim counts.
• During Trump's term — the market puts it at 10%, closing 20 Jan 2029. The market resolves to Yes if Kim Jong-Un visits the United States before January 20, 2029. It resolves to No if that visit does not occur by that date. Readers often mistake the linked story about Trump and Iran for the actual condition, but only a visit by Kim Jong-Un counts.
• Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? — the market puts it at 5%, with $82k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Kim Jong Un stops being Supreme Leader at any point before December 31, 2026, including through resignation, removal, detention, or permanent inability to perform his duties. A public announcement of his departure before the deadline triggers an immediate Yes resolution, even if the change takes effect later.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.