NewsMarkets

Markets

During Trump's term

Implied probability 10%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$18k
Liquidity$18k
Resolves20 Jan 2029
How the odds moved · During Trump's term
0%50%100%10%24 Oct, 07:27 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now10%
24 Oct, 07:27 UTC10%

Your call. How does this end?

Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

Does the market have this right?

Email me when the odds move

We email a link to confirm first. At most one alert email every six hours; unsubscribe in one click. Privacy

What counts

The market resolves to Yes if Kim Jong-Un visits the United States before January 20, 2029. It resolves to No if that visit does not occur by that date. Readers often mistake the linked story about Trump and Iran for the actual condition, but only a visit by Kim Jong-Un counts.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 10%
  • No 90%

Trade this market on Kalshi →

Embed this market

Paste this into any web page to show the live odds, with a link back here.

Stories on this market