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Coverage vs. odds, last two weeks

How much the press wrote about Amazon each day, and what its busiest market did over the same days.

494 articles in 14 days, per day.

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

How the odds moved · Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

Price data

Time	Chance of yes
now	4%
28 Oct, 01:07 UTC	4%
28 Oct, 00:53 UTC	4%
28 Oct, 00:28 UTC	4%
27 Oct, 23:38 UTC	5%
27 Oct, 23:19 UTC	5%
27 Oct, 22:58 UTC	4%
27 Oct, 22:23 UTC	4%
27 Oct, 21:56 UTC	3%
27 Oct, 21:26 UTC	3%
27 Oct, 20:53 UTC	3%
27 Oct, 20:24 UTC	5%
27 Oct, 19:55 UTC	5%
27 Oct, 18:56 UTC	6%
27 Oct, 18:19 UTC	7%
27 Oct, 17:57 UTC	7%
27 Oct, 17:28 UTC	7%
27 Oct, 16:45 UTC	7%
27 Oct, 16:22 UTC	7%
27 Oct, 15:56 UTC	8%
27 Oct, 15:20 UTC	10%
27 Oct, 14:36 UTC	9%
27 Oct, 13:26 UTC	9%
27 Oct, 12:50 UTC	9%
27 Oct, 12:15 UTC	10%
27 Oct, 11:51 UTC	9%
27 Oct, 11:22 UTC	9%
27 Oct, 10:12 UTC	11%
27 Oct, 09:51 UTC	9%
27 Oct, 09:22 UTC	9%
27 Oct, 08:54 UTC	9%
27 Oct, 08:27 UTC	9%
27 Oct, 07:57 UTC	9%
27 Oct, 06:42 UTC	9%
27 Oct, 05:54 UTC	9%
27 Oct, 05:27 UTC	9%
27 Oct, 04:47 UTC	9%
27 Oct, 03:52 UTC	9%
27 Oct, 03:26 UTC	8%
27 Oct, 02:58 UTC	9%
27 Oct, 02:09 UTC	9%
27 Oct, 01:53 UTC	9%
27 Oct, 01:25 UTC	9%
27 Oct, 00:45 UTC	10%
27 Oct, 00:24 UTC	10%
26 Oct, 23:52 UTC	10%
26 Oct, 23:24 UTC	10%
26 Oct, 22:56 UTC	10%
26 Oct, 22:08 UTC	9%
26 Oct, 21:53 UTC	9%
26 Oct, 20:40 UTC	9%
26 Oct, 20:12 UTC	9%
26 Oct, 19:58 UTC	9%
26 Oct, 19:15 UTC	8%
26 Oct, 18:57 UTC	8%
26 Oct, 18:19 UTC	8%
26 Oct, 17:36 UTC	8%
26 Oct, 17:21 UTC	8%
26 Oct, 16:59 UTC	9%
26 Oct, 16:24 UTC	8%
26 Oct, 15:39 UTC	8%
26 Oct, 15:17 UTC	9%
26 Oct, 14:55 UTC	10%
26 Oct, 14:23 UTC	10%
26 Oct, 13:47 UTC	10%
26 Oct, 13:23 UTC	9%
26 Oct, 12:47 UTC	10%
26 Oct, 12:25 UTC	10%
26 Oct, 11:56 UTC	10%
26 Oct, 11:24 UTC	10%
26 Oct, 10:07 UTC	10%
26 Oct, 09:53 UTC	10%
26 Oct, 09:24 UTC	10%
26 Oct, 08:58 UTC	9%
26 Oct, 08:23 UTC	9%
26 Oct, 07:44 UTC	9%
26 Oct, 07:24 UTC	9%
26 Oct, 06:58 UTC	11%
26 Oct, 06:27 UTC	12%
26 Oct, 05:53 UTC	13%
26 Oct, 05:19 UTC	13%
26 Oct, 04:57 UTC	13%
26 Oct, 04:29 UTC	13%
26 Oct, 03:50 UTC	13%
26 Oct, 03:27 UTC	13%
26 Oct, 02:27 UTC	13%
26 Oct, 01:58 UTC	13%
26 Oct, 01:27 UTC	13%
26 Oct, 00:54 UTC	13%
25 Oct, 23:35 UTC	14%
25 Oct, 23:25 UTC	13%
25 Oct, 22:54 UTC	13%
25 Oct, 22:13 UTC	14%
25 Oct, 21:57 UTC	12%
25 Oct, 21:29 UTC	11%
25 Oct, 20:56 UTC	11%
25 Oct, 20:26 UTC	9%
25 Oct, 19:46 UTC	8%
25 Oct, 19:25 UTC	8%
25 Oct, 18:57 UTC	7%
25 Oct, 18:25 UTC	7%
25 Oct, 17:56 UTC	7%
25 Oct, 17:17 UTC	5%
25 Oct, 16:56 UTC	3%
25 Oct, 16:28 UTC	4%
25 Oct, 15:46 UTC	8%
25 Oct, 15:03 UTC	9%
25 Oct, 13:03 UTC	8%
25 Oct, 11:42 UTC	8%
25 Oct, 11:28 UTC	8%
25 Oct, 09:58 UTC	8%
25 Oct, 09:07 UTC	7%
25 Oct, 08:53 UTC	8%
25 Oct, 08:07 UTC	7%
25 Oct, 07:11 UTC	8%
25 Oct, 02:21 UTC	8%
24 Oct, 20:31 UTC	8%
24 Oct, 20:23 UTC	8%
24 Oct, 18:15 UTC	8%
24 Oct, 17:36 UTC	9%
24 Oct, 17:01 UTC	9%
24 Oct, 16:15 UTC	8%
24 Oct, 15:41 UTC	8%
24 Oct, 15:27 UTC	8%
24 Oct, 14:12 UTC	8%
24 Oct, 13:29 UTC	9%
24 Oct, 12:18 UTC	9%
24 Oct, 09:22 UTC	7%
24 Oct, 08:36 UTC	7%
24 Oct, 08:09 UTC	7%
24 Oct, 07:27 UTC	8%
24 Oct, 06:58 UTC	9%
24 Oct, 03:30 UTC	10%
23 Oct, 17:24 UTC	11%
23 Oct, 15:27 UTC	10%
23 Oct, 14:16 UTC	11%
23 Oct, 13:19 UTC	10%
23 Oct, 12:57 UTC	11%
23 Oct, 11:48 UTC	12%
23 Oct, 11:20 UTC	13%
23 Oct, 10:46 UTC	13%
23 Oct, 10:24 UTC	13%
23 Oct, 09:21 UTC	14%
23 Oct, 06:53 UTC	14%
23 Oct, 06:25 UTC	15%
23 Oct, 05:53 UTC	14%
23 Oct, 05:25 UTC	13%
23 Oct, 04:57 UTC	13%
23 Oct, 04:02 UTC	14%
23 Oct, 03:41 UTC	14%
23 Oct, 02:33 UTC	11%
22 Oct, 18:49 UTC	11%
22 Oct, 15:28 UTC	11%
22 Oct, 14:39 UTC	13%
22 Oct, 14:17 UTC	13%
22 Oct, 13:04 UTC	15%
22 Oct, 12:43 UTC	14%
22 Oct, 12:21 UTC	15%
22 Oct, 10:53 UTC	18%
22 Oct, 10:09 UTC	17%
22 Oct, 09:11 UTC	18%
22 Oct, 08:36 UTC	18%
22 Oct, 06:15 UTC	18%
22 Oct, 04:34 UTC	19%
22 Oct, 04:27 UTC	19%
22 Oct, 03:38 UTC	19%
22 Oct, 03:23 UTC	19%
22 Oct, 02:54 UTC	19%
22 Oct, 02:26 UTC	19%
22 Oct, 01:44 UTC	19%
22 Oct, 01:29 UTC	18%
21 Oct, 23:14 UTC	18%
21 Oct, 21:12 UTC	18%
21 Oct, 20:57 UTC	18%
21 Oct, 20:20 UTC	18%
21 Oct, 19:54 UTC	18%
21 Oct, 19:17 UTC	16%
21 Oct, 18:34 UTC	18%
21 Oct, 18:12 UTC	17%
21 Oct, 16:29 UTC	16%
21 Oct, 15:46 UTC	17%
21 Oct, 15:17 UTC	18%
21 Oct, 14:55 UTC	16%
21 Oct, 14:05 UTC	17%
21 Oct, 12:14 UTC	16%
21 Oct, 11:45 UTC	18%
21 Oct, 10:39 UTC	15%
21 Oct, 09:19 UTC	16%
21 Oct, 08:51 UTC	16%
21 Oct, 07:50 UTC	16%
21 Oct, 07:29 UTC	15%
21 Oct, 06:30 UTC	16%
21 Oct, 06:09 UTC	16%
21 Oct, 05:27 UTC	16%
21 Oct, 04:52 UTC	17%
21 Oct, 04:12 UTC	18%
21 Oct, 03:50 UTC	19%
21 Oct, 02:41 UTC	20%
21 Oct, 01:45 UTC	18%

Stories

Anthropic Flags Gas Supply and Political Risks in IPO Filing Hot: $50k traded on its market in 24 hours

The AI firm warns investors of methane dependency, supply chain disruptions, and regulatory scrutiny as it prepares to go public.

business 50 sources 6h ago

Kalshi Anthropic 81% +1

Asian Stocks Rise on AI Optimism as Big Tech Earnings Loom

Renewed enthusiasm for artificial intelligence lifts equities ahead of earnings from industry giants and the Federal Reserve’s rate decision.

business 33 sources 2h ago

AI-Discovered PHP Flaws Trigger Global Cyber Emergency and Patch Rush

Governments and companies scramble to patch critical vulnerabilities in the PHP programming language after AI tools helped hackers discover and exploit them.

tech 37 sources 7h ago

Kalshi Yes 21%

Verizon Raises 2026 Forecast After Strong Customer Growth and AI Deal

Verizon lifted its 2026 customer target after adding 406,000 subscribers in Q3 and signed a $2 billion AI deal with Amazon.

business 4 sources 13h ago

Kalshi Above 750 thousand 56%