India
Implied probability 14%+5
24-hour volume$786
Total volume$30k
Liquidity$30k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 14% |
| 25 Oct, 02:07 UTC | 14% |
| 24 Oct, 06:58 UTC | 10% |
| 23 Oct, 09:14 UTC | 9% |
| 22 Oct, 21:09 UTC | 8% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if a confirmed human case of Ebola disease in India is officially reported after issuance and before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked news story about sexual violence protests as relevant, but only Ebola cases count.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 14%
- No 86%